Tennis · resolved market
ITF Stuttgart-Vaihingen: Alice Tubello vs Anastasiya Sobolieva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6e69d2ca0a8ef2392fba28f0d0d0e61ad122fe314d2a796046711c3a3e599fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anastasiya Sobolievaof Alice Tubello, Anastasiya Sobolieva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,416
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,140
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,416 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 58c | 1,806$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.32 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 19c | 1,054$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Alice Tubello | 43c | 745.51$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.57 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Alice Tubello | 45c | 600$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.76 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 55c | 534.67$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.33 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alice Tubello | 40c | 412.06$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.82 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Alice Tubello | 3c | 319.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Alice Tubello | 45c | 310.36$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.72 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 76c | 252.37$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.39 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Alice Tubello | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 22c | 222.76$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.03 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 29c | 190.11$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.09 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Alice Tubello | 41c | 171$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.11 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4423…47fdbacked Alice Tubello | 16c | 126.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.1 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Alice Tubello | 46c | 74.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Alice Tubello | 65c | 60.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x229c…641ebacked Alice Tubello | 50c | 59.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Alice Tubello | 45c | 55$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Alice Tubello | 45c | 54.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Alice Tubello | 78c | 53$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.29 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Alice Tubello | 33c | 47.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0320…3757backed Alice Tubello | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 113 | 65.5%74 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alice Tubello | 44c | 42.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 34c | 40.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…54bdbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Alice Tubello | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 57c | 27.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Alice Tubello | 48c | 25.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Alice Tubello | 77c | 25.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Anastasiya Sobolieva | 60c | 25.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.07 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd1…052cbacked Anastasiya Sobolieva | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36a…30cabacked Alice Tubello | 46c | 23.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Alice Tubello | 57c | 23.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed Alice Tubello | 45c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 443 | 49%217 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd651…19ecbacked Alice Tubello | 48c | 21.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Alice Tubello | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.