Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
South Carolina State Bulldogs vs. Morgan State Bears
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb745b8c76046326e9a456cb7e5224366337eb6c44d596e99f9ad9c8217478b96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Morgan State Bearsof South Carolina State Bulldogs, Morgan State Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,773
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x59ca…58b4backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 1c | 1,202$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Morgan State Bears | 61c | 1,164$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.55 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Morgan State Bears | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 38c | 921.62$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.35 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 38c | 799$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.62 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 39c | 401.05$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.89 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 39c | 320.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Morgan State Bears | 63c | 294.72$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Morgan State Bears | 54c | 223.87$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Morgan State Bears | 57c | 197.17$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.55 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 39c | 180$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 54c | 171.54$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.63 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Morgan State Bears | 63c | 170.71$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.3 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 14c | 92.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 120 | 34.2%41 W · 79 L | -13.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 38c | 84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs | 37c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54f…dce8backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 643 | 22.9%147 W · 496 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Morgan State Bears | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Morgan State Bears | 66c | 31.2$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Morgan State Bears | 64c | 29.21$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…5557backed South Carolina State Bulldogs | 39c | 25.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Morgan State Bears | 65c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.01 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.