Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb778847e66db84eddb2babfd7f7fbf60a4680d38339e5c6186d7ba545f52dca5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- REJECTof Crest Gaming Zst, REJECT
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,211
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed Crest Gaming Zst | 45c | 10,808$4,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,842.34 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcadf…1f60backed REJECT | 56c | 4,466$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.04 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked REJECT | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,839.98 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…b465backed REJECT | 56c | 1,340$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.6 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +21%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Crest Gaming Zst | 43c | 1,080$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.53 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed REJECT | 57c | 1,001$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.43 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed REJECT | 56c | 310.64$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d70…fdd9backed REJECT | 76c | 271.81$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.14 | 452 | 50%226 W · 226 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked REJECT | 54c | 249.99$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Crest Gaming Zst | 45c | 223$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbd31…8004backed REJECT | 55c | 190.22$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.6 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37db…dff4backed REJECT | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5747…7fdfbacked REJECT | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 628 | 56.4%354 W · 274 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 25c | 164.65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa369…3ad6backed Crest Gaming Zst | 45c | 145.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.4 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked REJECT | 56c | 107.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Crest Gaming Zst | 12c | 106.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe01f…ab4abacked REJECT | 46c | 99.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 254 | 44.9%114 W · 140 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Crest Gaming Zst | 45c | 91$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2338…27f6backed REJECT | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 132 | 43.2%57 W · 75 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed REJECT | 56c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Crest Gaming Zst | 24c | 49.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 219 | 51.6%113 W · 106 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7167…0ee2backed REJECT | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed Crest Gaming Zst | 56c | 31.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3961…6cb5backed Crest Gaming Zst | 44c | 29.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed REJECT | 56c | 28.5$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed REJECT | 51c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40bd…9d35backed REJECT | 57c | 19.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d5…2c23backed REJECT | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 113 | 67.3%76 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs REJECT (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stagethis page
- Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs REJECT - Map 2 WinnerREJECT won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.