Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7cf0c0f80d59e713a52657609880b8d72533acb3723e8645a97f534883806f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,693
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,444
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,693 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 58c | 1,125$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.67 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 34c | 660.37$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.75 | 5,655 | 42%2,376 W · 3,279 L | +75.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 36c | 642.77$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.22 | 2,068 | 36.7%758 W · 1,310 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3968…85b5backed Over | 67c | 447.91$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.81 | 34 | 79.4%27 W · 7 L | +8.9wins | +0.26per pick | 53cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 39c | 153.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 781 | 39.8%311 W · 470 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 72c | 127.78$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.28 | 376 | 39.6%149 W · 227 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 65c | 119.28$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.21 | 338 | 58.6%198 W · 140 L | +30.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 66c | 113.9$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.8 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 37c | 108.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.09 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 39c | 96.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.62 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 61c | 96.1$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.62 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 76c | 76.34$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 46.39$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 995 | 52.6%523 W · 472 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa58…140dbacked Under | 23c | 45.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 257 | 41.6%107 W · 150 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e49…5166backed Over | 57c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 12 | 100%12 W · 0 L | +4.5wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 61c | 30.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.83 | 667 | 47.8%319 W · 348 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 51c | 30.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe30f…ab88backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 78c | 28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.16 | 648 | 50%324 W · 324 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -8.1wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 227 | 47.1%107 W · 120 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 71c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.3 | 390 | 47.7%186 W · 204 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 3.5this page
- Randers FC vs. FC København: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: FC København O/U 0.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 0.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 1.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 4.5Under won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: FC København (-1.5)FC København won
- Spread: FC København (-2.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.