Tennis · resolved market
ITF Edwardsville: Samir Banerjee vs Maxwell Exsted
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d188df696dfddce1ae8fa16dac75987afdba647fe9ebb0e5d1885c185b2c03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maxwell Exstedof Samir Banerjee, Maxwell Exsted
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,257
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,257 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Samir Banerjee | 44c | 2,130$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.25 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Maxwell Exsted | 55c | 1,166$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Maxwell Exsted | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Maxwell Exsted | 50c | 300.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.24 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maxwell Exsted | 27c | 166.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.58 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b25…7a69backed Samir Banerjee | 73c | 135.79$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Maxwell Exsted | 60c | 105.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Samir Banerjee | 68c | 103.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.08 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Maxwell Exsted | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Samir Banerjee | 41c | 93$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.3 | 431 | 44.8%193 W · 238 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f7…c7a2backed Samir Banerjee | 79c | 88.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 282 | 55%155 W · 127 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Maxwell Exsted | 21c | 88.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 264 | 41.7%110 W · 154 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Maxwell Exsted | 26c | 87.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Maxwell Exsted | 23c | 85.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.14 | 391 | 35.8%140 W · 251 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Samir Banerjee | 77c | 79.99$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Samir Banerjee | 74c | 73.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Maxwell Exsted | 61c | 70.33$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maxwell Exsted | 50c | 54.69$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17b6…8ef6backed Samir Banerjee | 73c | 53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 70 | 32.9%23 W · 47 L | -7.5wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Samir Banerjee | 73c | 42.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.06 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Maxwell Exsted | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Maxwell Exsted | 54c | 33.08$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Samir Banerjee | 69c | 32.25$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 119 | 29.4%35 W · 84 L | -17.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Maxwell Exsted | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Maxwell Exsted | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…a690backed Samir Banerjee | 73c | 20.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Samir Banerjee | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…6767backed Samir Banerjee | 72c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 93 | 66.7%62 W · 31 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.