Tennis · resolved market
Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Maximo Zeitune
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f337a0ea44fc95b84c1c90190b8f21d646dfd325cffb4554cbaf83cb5f1303
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juan Manuel La Sernaof Juan Manuel La Serna, Maximo Zeitune
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $62,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Maximo Zeitune | 5c | 18,685$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.66 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Maximo Zeitune | 4c | 6,182$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.3 | 341 | 36.4%124 W · 217 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Maximo Zeitune | 6c | 3,829$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.92 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Maximo Zeitune | 11c | 2,059$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.75 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87b1…04dbbacked Maximo Zeitune | 8c | 1,054$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Maximo Zeitune | 5c | 750.94$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 304 | 36.2%110 W · 194 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Maximo Zeitune | 32c | 623.26$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.25 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Maximo Zeitune | 38c | 500$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.58 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 60c | 294.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41fd…6314backed Maximo Zeitune | 8c | 250.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 248.68$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.47 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Maximo Zeitune | 6c | 239.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f39…7a21backed Maximo Zeitune | 13c | 221.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.61 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 74c | 126.58$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabbf…126cbacked Maximo Zeitune | 41c | 119.99$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Maximo Zeitune | 22c | 106.68$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d3…4b1fbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 59c | 89$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Maximo Zeitune | 41c | 87$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75f…d7f6backed Maximo Zeitune | 41c | 85.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Maximo Zeitune | 38c | 80.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 60c | 80.12$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.05 | 345 | 49.9%172 W · 173 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Maximo Zeitune | 32c | 79.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Maximo Zeitune | 15c | 75.82$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 69c | 57$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.53 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 55.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 73c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 63c | 50.07$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.74 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0a…36d8backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 382 | 62.3%238 W · 144 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 44.41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…3b08backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 509 | 58%295 W · 214 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 40.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.16 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…13e5backed Maximo Zeitune | 41c | 34.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0813…41e1backed Maximo Zeitune | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 371 | 58.8%218 W · 153 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 31.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 59c | 30.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.56 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Maximo Zeitune | 41c | 30.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.36 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Maximo Zeitune | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 63c | 23.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 315 | 63.5%200 W · 115 L | +21.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Juan Manuel La Serna | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 67c | 19.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Juan Manuel La Serna | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cordoba: Juan Manuel La Serna vs Maximo Zeitunethis page
- Serna vs. Zeitune: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Serna vs. Zeitune: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Serna vs. Zeitune: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Serna vs. Zeitune: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Serna vs ZeituneSerna won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.