Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7f7f52ed3b38b13bb9a994a8774b9c250caea7b4cb754f31d203bb30fbdbd42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orzeł Barcząca Esportsof HMBLE, Orzeł Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,241 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed HMBLE | 1c | 3,333$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed HMBLE | 56c | 3,157$1,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764.51 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed HMBLE | 18c | 1,926$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 184 | 51.6%95 W · 89 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 44c | 1,716$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.26 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 73c | 1,273$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.75 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed HMBLE | 6c | 958$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.48 | 125 | 39.2%49 W · 76 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed HMBLE | 20c | 719$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.41 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 65c | 718.53$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.99 | 2,490 | 47.3%1,179 W · 1,311 L | -31.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked HMBLE | 25c | 626.34$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.85 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 46c | 571$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.65 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 75c | 523.53$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.08 | 2,820 | 41.4%1,167 W · 1,653 L | -14.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 54c | 502.94$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.16 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed HMBLE | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.28 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed HMBLE | 58c | 344.43$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.03 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 57c | 342.43$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.88 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 73c | 300$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked HMBLE | 54c | 260.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked HMBLE | 55c | 157.84$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed HMBLE | 29c | 132.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.11 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc397…bb3bbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 76c | 132.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.07 | 1,660 | 59.5%987 W · 673 L | +97.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 72c | 128.17$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.85 | 200 | 51%102 W · 98 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 57c | 114.71$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.28 | 2,336 | 40.4%943 W · 1,393 L | -58.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d68…21c2backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 46c | 102.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.12 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed HMBLE | 27c | 96.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HMBLE | 49c | 88.12$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd5…8f67backed HMBLE | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 74c | 67.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HMBLE | 24c | 65.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked HMBLE | 18c | 60.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 56c | 58.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…08bbbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 53c | 44.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +527.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 58c | 42.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.8 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked HMBLE | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HMBLE | 29c | 38.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eba…eb58backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 64c | 37.47$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b299backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea15…ba9ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 55c | 26.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 403 | 47.4%191 W · 212 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51f…e115backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 75c | 15.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.98 | 116 | 65.5%76 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 76c | 15.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 75c | 13.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.43 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group EOrzeł Barcząca Esports won
- LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports - Game 1 WinnerOrzeł Barcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.