Lol · resolved market
LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc503c4d75226a05767678c85eac6bca142ab2779796c396c6c8ed250a16b151
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Orzeł Barcząca Esportsof HMBLE, Orzeł Barcząca Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,842
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,842 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 59c | 1,992$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.62 | 2,004 | 58.2%1,166 W · 838 L | +86.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 49c | 1,455$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.41 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HMBLE | 41c | 1,151$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.76 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed HMBLE | 47c | 1,139$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.04 | 283 | 61.5%174 W · 109 L | +18.0wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked HMBLE | 49c | 799.44$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.16 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 59c | 706.62$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.44 | 1,592 | 34%541 W · 1,051 L | -79.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 55c | 641.98$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.99 | 989 | 56.8%562 W · 427 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x395f…dcacbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 58c | 517.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.24 | 262 | 45.8%120 W · 142 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe74b…ee88backed HMBLE | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 862 | 51.3%442 W · 420 L | +51.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…f53cbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b51…2b54backed HMBLE | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 54c | 470$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.31 | 1,806 | 39.1%707 W · 1,099 L | -30.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed HMBLE | 40c | 446.71$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.48 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed HMBLE | 51c | 358.95$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.04 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked HMBLE | 38c | 331.63$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 155 | 36.8%57 W · 98 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed HMBLE | 70c | 278.84$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 48c | 233.56$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.45 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…c665backed HMBLE | 68c | 225.34$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 331 | 43.8%145 W · 186 L | -11.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 32c | 195.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33c…4c38backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 78c | 191.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.25 | 240 | 65%156 W · 84 L | +24.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 69c | 165.57$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4e…1483backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 70c | 143.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed HMBLE | 48c | 121.29$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked HMBLE | 47c | 120.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.69 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 51c | 110$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.5 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 55c | 102.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 955 | 51.7%494 W · 461 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 51c | 101.96$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 214 | 57.5%123 W · 91 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked HMBLE | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 47c | 85.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 697 | 56.5%394 W · 303 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a5…c602backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 36c | 80$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 299 | 27.8%83 W · 216 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 46c | 78.77$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 49c | 75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 37c | 67.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked HMBLE | 46c | 56.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed HMBLE | 34c | 54.14$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.49 | 1,606 | 17.5%281 W · 1,325 L | -245.0wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf69c…44dbbacked HMBLE | 66c | 45.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed HMBLE | 37c | 39.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed HMBLE | 52c | 38.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 751 | 42.1%316 W · 435 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc33…ded5backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 34c | 32.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…bd2abacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 82 | 54.9%45 W · 37 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed HMBLE | 43c | 29.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 73c | 28.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c67…e838backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 69c | 26.29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.11 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f7…7eadbacked HMBLE | 64c | 23.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 59c | 23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 140 | 67.9%95 W · 45 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0be3…8ea6backed Orzeł Barcząca Esports | 72c | 16.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group EOrzeł Barcząca Esports won
- LoL: HMBLE vs Orzeł Barcząca Esports - Game 2 WinnerOrzeł Barcząca Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.