Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tsaghkadzor: Daria Kuznetsova vs Anna Bazderova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb851450f76c998cbcbd1f1948bf801b849e8a4915f1040182533cf69c11fdda9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Bazderovaof Daria Kuznetsova, Anna Bazderova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,979
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e33…afb3backed Anna Bazderova | 71c | 2,468$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.2 | 620 | 61.9%384 W · 236 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…079fbacked Anna Bazderova | 70c | 1,989$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.78 | 488 | 55.9%273 W · 215 L | -20.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Daria Kuznetsova | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Daria Kuznetsova | 28c | 863.98$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.54 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Daria Kuznetsova | 30c | 825$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Daria Kuznetsova | 31c | 807$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 568 | 27.3%155 W · 413 L | +23.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Daria Kuznetsova | 29c | 666.36$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.69 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Daria Kuznetsova | 27c | 496.63$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.21 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Anna Bazderova | 64c | 465.59$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.59 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Anna Bazderova | 67c | 433.36$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.51 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Daria Kuznetsova | 15c | 368.3$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.42 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8668…7f8fbacked Anna Bazderova | 77c | 268.94$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Daria Kuznetsova | 35c | 267.93$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Daria Kuznetsova | 35c | 226.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Kuznetsova | 17c | 201.47$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x482f…7504backed Anna Bazderova | 65c | 170.09$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.44 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Daria Kuznetsova | 14c | 167.85$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Daria Kuznetsova | 12c | 113.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e5…f52cbacked Anna Bazderova | 78c | 89.74$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Daria Kuznetsova | 12c | 86$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed Daria Kuznetsova | 30c | 83.94$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Kuznetsova | 22c | 76.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Daria Kuznetsova | 33c | 61.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Daria Kuznetsova | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Daria Kuznetsova | 36c | 49.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Anna Bazderova | 62c | 29.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543d…63a5backed Anna Bazderova | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Anna Bazderova | 65c | 28.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.97 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.