Tennis · resolved market
Bogota: Nicolas Mejia vs Fermin Tenti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8a578429ee7f8b4cd1147f677e2f0ab7f3a3381c5118720072316e2e876d51b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nicolas Mejiaof Nicolas Mejia, Fermin Tenti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,128
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,128 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Fermin Tenti | 3c | 13,178$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.83 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Fermin Tenti | 12c | 3,360$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.2 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Fermin Tenti | 9c | 1,689$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Fermin Tenti | 3c | 967.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Fermin Tenti | 10c | 488.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Fermin Tenti | 13c | 467$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.66 | 921 | 45.2%416 W · 505 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Fermin Tenti | 17c | 398.88$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 108 | 16.7%18 W · 90 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Fermin Tenti | 12c | 240.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Fermin Tenti | 12c | 237.33$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Fermin Tenti | 8c | 229.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Fermin Tenti | 6c | 171.58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Fermin Tenti | 11c | 171.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a14…9fe4backed Fermin Tenti | 16c | 134.12$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 409 | 35.7%146 W · 263 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Fermin Tenti | 12c | 130.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.78 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Fermin Tenti | 18c | 119.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.4 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…7eccbacked Fermin Tenti | 17c | 60.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 83 | 26.5%22 W · 61 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.