Premier League · resolved market
Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-08-08?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8d38d386a05ded98d89417e0fdbcac63b177e59fc9af408431fcc3e5406cc58
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,143
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,314
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,143 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed Yes | 43c | 15,817$6,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,769.27 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 42c | 10,070$4,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,229.22 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 58c | 9,800$5,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,116 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 61c | 7,652$4,668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,984.56 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 57c | 2,054$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.18 | 1,220 | 49.8%607 W · 613 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed No | 57c | 1,884$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.08 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 58c | 1,004$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.1 | 594 | 45.5%270 W · 324 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 789.14$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed No | 57c | 526.29$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.3 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed No | 57c | 253$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.79 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1db…c0afbacked No | 72c | 226.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…3e8cbacked Yes | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 28c | 217.21$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.82 | 489 | 50.1%245 W · 244 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed No | 78c | 216$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -10.8wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 60c | 208$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.2 | 964 | 43.7%421 W · 543 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1,224 | 42.3%518 W · 706 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 61c | 204$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.56 | 1,074 | 45%483 W · 591 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed No | 58c | 164.19$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 232 | 43.5%101 W · 131 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 162.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.93 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 154.8$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 285 | 31.2%89 W · 196 L | -20.3wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 58c | 150$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 57c | 142$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.06 | 226 | 44.2%100 W · 126 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 57c | 131$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.33 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 115 | 34.8%40 W · 75 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…09dcbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 57c | 116.46$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.91 | 2,550 | 47.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 60c | 102.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.81 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 57c | 95.6$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.11 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 60c | 93$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 60c | 90.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.2 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d2c…00b5backed Yes | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked No | 58c | 69.17$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ef…c23cbacked Yes | 43c | 66.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 58c | 63.98$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.6wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9202…dde4backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 64c | 31.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 1,662 | 34.9%580 W · 1,082 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Yes | 42c | 28.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 118 | 44.9%53 W · 65 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 57c | 23.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oxford United FC win on 2026-08-08?this page
- Will Leyton Orient FC vs. Oxford United FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-08-08?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.