CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9125dc70dafbafe8025f59bba002dcf6f288c3bb0a1f635b9e078c53f7afa30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MIBR Academyof ex-MIBR Academy, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Turma do Pagode | 18c | 378.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Turma do Pagode | 79c | 321.53$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.14 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed ex-MIBR Academy | 71c | 317.38$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.15 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Turma do Pagode | 58c | 233.41$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.69 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Turma do Pagode | 63c | 211.55$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.16 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-MIBR Academy | 43c | 139$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 49c | 126$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked ex-MIBR Academy | 57c | 74$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Turma do Pagode | 15c | 67.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Turma do Pagode | 60c | 65.38$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.03 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x499f…b72bbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 53c | 59.4$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 73c | 54.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Turma do Pagode | 58c | 53.6$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8c…2d81backed ex-MIBR Academy | 33c | 39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 457 | 48.1%220 W · 237 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ex-MIBR Academy | 26c | 38.47$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MIBR Academy | 43c | 38.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Turma do Pagode | 72c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Turma do Pagode | 44c | 24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 70c | 18.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsex-MIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winnerex-MIBR Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.