CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc35e8055d58000cd73947fb10e89d3f66311af17561fff9ca01dcbbde719868c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-MIBR Academyof ex-MIBR Academy, Turma do Pagode
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,671
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d35…b406backed Turma do Pagode | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.99 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ex-MIBR Academy | 16c | 1,093$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$916.54 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x984f…9a43backed ex-MIBR Academy | 17c | 1,000$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.79 | 85 | 70.6%60 W · 25 L | +18.5wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed ex-MIBR Academy | 12c | 572.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.4 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadeb…5850backed ex-MIBR Academy | 74c | 499.91$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.57 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ae…afe9backed ex-MIBR Academy | 44c | 425.87$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.65 | 254 | 40.6%103 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed ex-MIBR Academy | 50c | 300.4$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.92 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Turma do Pagode | 39c | 281.28$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d10…5990backed Turma do Pagode | 39c | 253$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.2 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-MIBR Academy | 59c | 236.92$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.93 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-MIBR Academy | 57c | 229.43$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.95 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-MIBR Academy | 61c | 193$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.11 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed ex-MIBR Academy | 16c | 190$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Turma do Pagode | 48c | 189.99$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.11 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Turma do Pagode | 32c | 186.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.67 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 69c | 180$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.26 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa62b…58aabacked Turma do Pagode | 42c | 161.63$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.6 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-MIBR Academy | 64c | 133.24$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Turma do Pagode | 57c | 127.65$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.64 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 54c | 126.67$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 46c | 104.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.03 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…dcbabacked Turma do Pagode | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed ex-MIBR Academy | 15c | 95.69$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.34 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Turma do Pagode | 16c | 91.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda33…cd9abacked ex-MIBR Academy | 18c | 89.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.14 | 150 | 56.7%85 W · 65 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf247…d8cabacked ex-MIBR Academy | 57c | 86.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.07 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed ex-MIBR Academy | 57c | 85.86$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 55c | 78.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Turma do Pagode | 28c | 73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 379 | 22.2%84 W · 295 L | -43.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed ex-MIBR Academy | 58c | 71.9$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked ex-MIBR Academy | 30c | 68.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.14 | 190 | 50%95 W · 95 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…ee63backed ex-MIBR Academy | 59c | 57.86$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa32…a296backed Turma do Pagode | 61c | 56.98$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 37 | 83.8%31 W · 6 L | +4.9wins | +0.13per pick | 71cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-MIBR Academy | 61c | 52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.41 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Turma do Pagode | 33c | 50.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 370 | 57%211 W · 159 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Turma do Pagode | 53c | 40.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa53…2439backed ex-MIBR Academy | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 31c | 35.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-MIBR Academy | 63c | 35.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed ex-MIBR Academy | 58c | 34.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ex-MIBR Academy | 37c | 27.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.61 | 351 | 41.6%146 W · 205 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 56c | 24.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…81b5backed ex-MIBR Academy | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa52…865bbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 70c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked ex-MIBR Academy | 60c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 232 | 44.8%104 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Turma do Pagode | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Turma do Pagode | 54c | 18.36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode - Map 1 Winnerex-MIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: ex-MIBR Academy vs Turma do Pagode - Map 2 Winnerex-MIBR Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.