WNBA · resolved market
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9141fddcc3f876d5e35a29a6c24ebf5270e718d93e3d8060876b5742a4a97c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 51c | 7,983$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.19 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 4,749$2,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,471.08 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 49c | 3,446$1,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,757.46 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 47c | 2,051$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,077.98 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 54c | 1,334$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.88 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Under | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Over | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.06 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xac01…cc30backed Over | 49c | 816.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 49c | 675$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.33 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e6…3d2ebacked Over | 49c | 653.06$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a2…2d93backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…2509backed Over | 49c | 414.29$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf735…5e1bbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 49c | 371$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Over | 48c | 363$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…d366backed Over | 49c | 220.41$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…79d5backed Over | 49c | 216.33$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…8663backed Over | 49c | 206$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f79…be19backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Under | 7c | 154.5$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…a315backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef8…da63backed Over | 49c | 108.16$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 48c | 103$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.06 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc348…9f08backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf948…b757backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 49c | 81.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.63 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Over | 47c | 81.49$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Under | 47c | 66$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.91 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 49c | 62.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 48c | 56.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.45 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 73c | 48.89$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Over | 47c | 46.38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.58 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x891d…b19fbacked Over | 59c | 37.44$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +89.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Over | 52c | 29.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.19per pick | 66cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Over | 47c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe840…733cbacked Over | 49c | 21.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas AcesLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.