WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x301c7fd8b1380ccea24048520d9d6392b5fe21eb1e36fbfe9b33f4abd60a6902
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Angeles Sparksof Las Vegas Aces, Los Angeles Sparks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,430
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,494
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,430 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Las Vegas Aces | 48c | 3,275$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,585.05 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Los Angeles Sparks | 52c | 2,811$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.81 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed Los Angeles Sparks | 48c | 2,372$1,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.68 | 274 | 49.6%136 W · 138 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b4…ca9bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 1,003$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.33 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 1,002$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.92 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 900.42$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.53 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 510.64$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.64 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Las Vegas Aces | 45c | 335.31$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.54 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Sparks | 50c | 240.05$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Las Vegas Aces | 52c | 236$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Los Angeles Sparks | 63c | 200.64$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.1 | 347 | 26.5%92 W · 255 L | -20.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 200$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 198.49$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.41 | 641 | 52%333 W · 308 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a16…9d73backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 188.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.71 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 180.2$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 151.98$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.02 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 117.26$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…9c8dbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x841f…bbd0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Las Vegas Aces | 56c | 87.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 79.94$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.35 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Las Vegas Aces | 51c | 58.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…9166backed Los Angeles Sparks | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5b…9b61backed Los Angeles Sparks | 53c | 43.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8211…6f97backed Los Angeles Sparks | 49c | 41.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449d…88cfbacked Las Vegas Aces | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Los Angeles Sparks | 65c | 36.08$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bfc…e101backed Las Vegas Aces | 44c | 35.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286c…f34ebacked Los Angeles Sparks | 47c | 34.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Los Angeles Sparks | 51c | 32.04$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 137 | 45.3%62 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Las Vegas Aces | 47c | 30.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Las Vegas Aces | 53c | 23.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Las Vegas Aces | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-8.5)this page
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas AcesLos Angeles Sparks won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5Over won
- Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 182.5Over won
- Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5)Los Angeles Sparks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.