Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Santander Men: Pierre Antoine Tailleu vs Aren Baybars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb941e973043ea66a534009c97d4119372f7b42b97ab2ffe064adbf3bed629e46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pierre Antoine Tailleuof Pierre Antoine Tailleu, Aren Baybars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,725
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,725 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Aren Baybars | 47c | 2,600$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.99 | 326 | 37.4%122 W · 204 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 59c | 1,787$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.24 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 55c | 1,013$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.84 | 445 | 52.8%235 W · 210 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Aren Baybars | 49c | 411.74$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 64c | 310.53$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 1,308 | 38.9%509 W · 799 L | -23.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Aren Baybars | 26c | 306.86$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.02 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1e…cbfbbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 140 | 52.1%73 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6f8…df87backed Aren Baybars | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Aren Baybars | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 64c | 168.33$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 65c | 125.19$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.74 | 648 | 37.5%243 W · 405 L | -32.6wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Aren Baybars | 42c | 119.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 285 | 57.9%165 W · 120 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Aren Baybars | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Aren Baybars | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 66c | 101.93$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aren Baybars | 36c | 92.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Aren Baybars | 39c | 81.13$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf236…2e36backed Aren Baybars | 20c | 76.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 64c | 64.51$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 74c | 56.88$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 215 | 72.6%156 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb4…9cb8backed Aren Baybars | 29c | 35.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Aren Baybars | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 66c | 30.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.53 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 65c | 20.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc611…cc2ebacked Pierre Antoine Tailleu | 74c | 13.93$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.