Australian A League · resolved market
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb954253825f36c639592eee34d707d99cdf9e646f557e349b30f967f9d0142c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,209
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,209 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Yes | 39c | 5,154$2,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 10c | 4,035$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.36 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 61c | 3,057$1,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,191.1 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 58c | 2,221$1,288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.01 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 71c | 1,867$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.16 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 5c | 1,697$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.36 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Yes | 7c | 1,585$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.18 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 61c | 1,111$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed No | 62c | 1,030$635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.6 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea0…8d74backed Yes | 23c | 813.69$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 6c | 753.73$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.88 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Yes | 39c | 749.14$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 484.8$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 26c | 452.78$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.62 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 41c | 342.08$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Yes | 20c | 295.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.02 | 81 | 29.6%24 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed No | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 36c | 275.52$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.19 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 34c | 273.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.83 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Yes | 15c | 258.68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…09a5backed No | 68c | 252.76$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.22 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 11c | 241.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d2…6ea7backed Yes | 33c | 232.68$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…986cbacked No | 58c | 174.48$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 66c | 174.07$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Yes | 19c | 157.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 63c | 151.48$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.55 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Yes | 28c | 149.16$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.76 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…20bfbacked Yes | 39c | 123.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 36c | 106.84$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.46 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4180…692abacked Yes | 18c | 105.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked Yes | 23c | 103.94$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cf…b42ebacked Yes | 14c | 100.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 30c | 99.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.41 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 21c | 99.84$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 21c | 92.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 78.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 21c | 74.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 60c | 73.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 34c | 70$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 64c | 67.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 64c | 60.9$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.22 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 62c | 59.91$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed No | 62c | 57.99$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.04 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 63c | 52.9$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yes | 37c | 52.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 39c | 49.41$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked Yes | 31c | 48.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 61c | 38.4$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.98 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b5…1db6backed No | 79c | 36.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 79c | 29.29$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x337e…a581backed No | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 62c | 21.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 437 | 48.3%211 W · 226 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed No | 68c | 21.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e9…86c0backed No | 60c | 19.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcd…ac63backed No | 70c | 19.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 68c | 16.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1412…8417backed No | 72c | 14.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 74cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-26?this page
- Will Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.