Australian A League · resolved market
Will Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x513eb8d6aee9ea3a983d0b9ad16d2900cf4f90b6a5d69202042e08821bb5dbc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 5,156$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.68 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Yes | 62c | 4,718$2,930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5428…e46abacked Yes | 57c | 2,580$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…87efbacked Yes | 61c | 1,605$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 1,146$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.67 | 988 | 44.4%439 W · 549 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 73c | 765.12$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.38 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 48c | 719.79$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.21 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 10c | 694.28$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.17 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 12c | 679.8$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.68 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Yes | 28c | 574.08$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.34 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +74%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked No | 60c | 569.36$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed No | 45c | 538.38$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 39c | 534.57$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.33 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7106…1caabacked Yes | 37c | 403.08$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.94 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Yes | 65c | 359.22$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 62cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 42c | 355.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.12 | 235 | 51.5%121 W · 114 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.53 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc3…0670backed Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.03 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 64c | 339.25$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.8 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 8c | 300.85$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 23c | 299.11$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 29c | 265.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 52c | 259.49$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.02 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 15c | 219.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.94 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 44c | 179.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.08 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 32c | 169.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.56 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 72c | 161.37$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.31 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87d7…05b5backed Yes | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed No | 50c | 150.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.27 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed No | 62c | 147.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.73 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58d4…aa98backed Yes | 52c | 131.64$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 27c | 123.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 27c | 121.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.96 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Yes | 80c | 117.57$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 58c | 116.23$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +76.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes | 24c | 102.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +74%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 78c | 98.68$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 59c | 83.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.62 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…196abacked Yes | 29c | 81.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 19c | 78.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.75 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 73.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcaf7…2d12backed Yes | 15c | 73.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +243.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…d1efbacked Yes | 29c | 66.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…8052backed Yes | 32c | 63.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.53 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.0wins | +0.36per pick | 37cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed No | 78c | 62.23$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.34 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +65.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 72c | 62$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.64 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce7a…fef0backed Yes | 54c | 51.92$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 73c | 50.5$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.87 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 41c | 48.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 14.4%14 W · 83 L | -13.0wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9121…bd6cbacked No | 63c | 46.89$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…d8bcbacked Yes | 38c | 45.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff21…d56abacked Yes | 62c | 39.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 51c | 39.31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 151 | 40.4%61 W · 90 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 39c | 36.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 110 | 50%55 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed No | 72c | 35.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 33.96$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bec…aad9backed No | 73c | 33.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 73c | 26.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 68c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked No | 73c | 17.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -9.7wins | -0.20per pick | 59cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 73c | 16.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 73c | 13.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sydney FC vs. Auckland FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Auckland FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
- Will Sydney FC win on 2026-04-26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.