Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. Joventut
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb95f606d5bd86458fddfd4354effb7371e3a6740a8ced8d3af283c8af567cd99
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, Joventut
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Saski Baskonia | 66c | 880$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.34 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Joventut | 31c | 783$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Joventut | 36c | 498.84$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.43 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Saski Baskonia | 73c | 462$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.81 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 56c | 431.48$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.85 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 75c | 401.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.8 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Joventut | 25c | 400.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Joventut | 33c | 283.21$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.37 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716c…e3a1backed Joventut | 11c | 222.78$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Joventut | 25c | 200.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Saski Baskonia | 68c | 164.05$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.42 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd47b…35d7backed Saski Baskonia | 77c | 163.61$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +60.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Saski Baskonia | 69c | 126.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6daa…945dbacked Joventut | 27c | 125.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Saski Baskonia | 65c | 121.37$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.13 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dee…5d00backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 107.51$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.51 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Saski Baskonia | 73c | 91.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Joventut | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc08c…4b12backed Joventut | 22c | 69.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9360…67f0backed Joventut | 29c | 65.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Joventut | 31c | 61.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 107 | 36.4%39 W · 68 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 58.94$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.35 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Saski Baskonia | 68c | 49.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.97 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Joventut | 23c | 48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +67%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Joventut | 25c | 47.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Saski Baskonia | 71c | 46.64$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Joventut | 23c | 45.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.57 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Joventut | 25c | 40.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Joventut | 33c | 39.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Saski Baskonia | 69c | 29.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Saski Baskonia | 67c | 20.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.