CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9668c66d2117c17e9adca2176d7cd4dbd216902ac7dd7a2593df38a674caaa9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof ex-RUBY, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 37c | 995.49$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.84 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6510…36d1backed ex-RUBY | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33cd…bb7bbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 229.1$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 52c | 221.15$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.99 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked ex-RUBY | 65c | 216.94$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.44 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 192.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 264 | 38.6%102 W · 162 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 8c | 189.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf301…4ce1backed ex-RUBY | 36c | 154.66$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.14 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +6.5wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 14c | 153$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.87 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Lavked | 38c | 138.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.86 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked ex-RUBY | 80c | 129.68$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 31c | 113.92$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.86 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 95.37$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.33 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked | 20c | 82.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 70.61$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.69 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ex-RUBY | 25c | 67.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed ex-RUBY | 62c | 63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.75 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 59.1$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.51 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked ex-RUBY | 53c | 51.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.21 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Lavked | 23c | 49.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 111 | 48.6%54 W · 57 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x212e…791abacked Lavked | 41c | 45.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc874…54a3backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 43.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lavked | 44c | 31.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99be…3622backed ex-RUBY | 53c | 27.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Lavked | 75c | 27.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.77 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 79c | 24.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…8973backed ex-RUBY | 80c | 18.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 63cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdda0…edaabacked ex-RUBY | 67c | 15.28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.