CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc4f73725fe86f1febeaaa923932e2a95379babe7671b39a0244b5f5dda0e6533
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof ex-RUBY, Lavked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,079
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7333…ca16backed ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 103 | 0%0 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 197 | 3.6%7 W · 190 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -91.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 927.5$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.83 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c5a…acc3backed ex-RUBY | 54c | 612.61$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.81 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 55cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f35…ed78backed Lavked | 45c | 609.21$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.07 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +6.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4235…69cbbacked ex-RUBY | 54c | 600$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…2de7backed Lavked | 45c | 580.2$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.11 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Lavked | 50c | 562.44$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 487.68$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-RUBY | 62c | 478.91$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.88 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked ex-RUBY | 50c | 435.56$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.18 | 157 | 32.5%51 W · 106 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 429.91$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked ex-RUBY | 61c | 424.25$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.45 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd80c…d40cbacked Lavked | 61c | 367.17$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.55 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 49c | 242.6$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.63 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ex-RUBY | 37c | 224.98$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.55 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Lavked | 68c | 217.49$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.59 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 40c | 177.09$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Lavked | 47c | 161.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.43 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ex-RUBY | 56c | 159.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.78 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-RUBY | 51c | 128.71$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.59 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed ex-RUBY | 35c | 114.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.21 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked ex-RUBY | 27c | 113$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 313 | 28.4%89 W · 224 L | -21.8wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-RUBY | 61c | 112$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.31 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed ex-RUBY | 56c | 102.52$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.57 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Lavked | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.65 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 94.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.13 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -12.2wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe574…1b45backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 74.19$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.92 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5625…6c2abacked Lavked | 17c | 71.54$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.38 | 361 | 51.8%187 W · 174 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked ex-RUBY | 45c | 65.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.29 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 64.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.25 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 54.9$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 463 | 44.5%206 W · 257 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lavked | 39c | 37.45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 57c | 35.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Lavked | 46c | 34.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15a2…3715backed ex-RUBY | 34c | 34.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Lavked | 52c | 31.34$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 388 | 58.2%226 W · 162 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Lavked | 55c | 30.39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.71 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4acd…66d4backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 27.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Lavked | 49c | 21.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 19.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #19 PlayoffsLavked won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Lavked - Map 2 WinnerLavked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.