Tennis · resolved market
Santa Cruz: Ryan Dickerson vs Carlos Maria Zarate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb99bfa775f5777b53d39213ee29eddac58a01508c092185ceea87167e5f93a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ryan Dickersonof Ryan Dickerson, Carlos Maria Zarate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,708
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,708 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 46c | 3,233$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.99 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Ryan Dickerson | 57c | 1,554$883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.23 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Ryan Dickerson | 62c | 1,339$830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.73 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Ryan Dickerson | 38c | 1,294$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.2 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Ryan Dickerson | 53c | 1,293$682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.17 | 292 | 41.8%122 W · 170 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 62c | 1,157$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.39 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 31c | 965.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.06 | 302 | 25.8%78 W · 224 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ryan Dickerson | 66c | 808.68$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.28 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 56c | 784.31$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.68 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 60c | 714.61$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.66 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Ryan Dickerson | 47c | 478.75$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.08 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Ryan Dickerson | 50c | 404.64$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.49 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d5…1a5bbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 31c | 369.42$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.3 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Ryan Dickerson | 32c | 364.48$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.1 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 38c | 362.66$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.41 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ryan Dickerson | 70c | 336.65$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.39 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 67c | 250$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.45 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Ryan Dickerson | 35c | 183.43$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.02 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 69c | 177.78$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.67 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Ryan Dickerson | 48c | 173.41$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.29 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Ryan Dickerson | 70c | 150.91$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 35c | 138.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Ryan Dickerson | 53c | 123.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.57 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Ryan Dickerson | 35c | 112.66$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.93 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Ryan Dickerson | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Ryan Dickerson | 55c | 96.15$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.27 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…4bcdbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 27c | 88.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.04 | 143 | 33.6%48 W · 95 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6a…9c4cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 39c | 84.8$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 128 | 54.7%70 W · 58 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe324…9189backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 68c | 82.21$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.91 | 206 | 64.1%132 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 64c | 76.9$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 37c | 75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Ryan Dickerson | 68c | 73.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 37c | 71.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.36 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Ryan Dickerson | 36c | 71.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.62 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…75ffbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 69c | 51.15$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.29 | 181 | 66.9%121 W · 60 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Ryan Dickerson | 34c | 50.98$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 513 | 39.4%202 W · 311 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Ryan Dickerson | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Ryan Dickerson | 61c | 46.17$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 567 | 54.5%309 W · 258 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 64c | 46$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad8d…bcdfbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 41c | 44.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c10…4e76backed Ryan Dickerson | 33c | 44.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.7 | 333 | 26.4%88 W · 245 L | -14.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 36c | 42.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 643 | 58.8%378 W · 265 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…f067backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 70c | 42.1$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 57 | 73.7%42 W · 15 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 64cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 51c | 41.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 269 | 53.2%143 W · 126 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e3…4874backed Ryan Dickerson | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.32 | 918 | 80.5%739 W · 179 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 76cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Ryan Dickerson | 58c | 34.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 435 | 58.6%255 W · 180 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Ryan Dickerson | 35c | 31.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.08 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 68c | 28.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…e8a1backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 57c | 25.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.66 | 85 | 75.3%64 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Carlos Maria Zarate | 69c | 24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 749 | 55.1%413 W · 336 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6b3…f8c1backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 45c | 22.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 156 | 41.7%65 W · 91 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Ryan Dickerson | 64c | 20.44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 67c | 20.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed Carlos Maria Zarate | 55c | 18.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -12.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Ryan Dickerson | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 430 | 67%288 W · 142 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Santa Cruz: Ryan Dickerson vs Carlos Maria Zaratethis page
- Dickerson vs. Zarate: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Dickerson vs. Zarate: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Ryan Dickerson vs. Carlos Maria Zarate: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.