Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba40ec8d36f76b10b5fbdb939fc1c91a1b50988e2227b18cf4fcd7f1d7af1271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,086,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,560,150
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,086,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 59c | 572,816$337,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235,317.38 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 41c | 300,000$123,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 42c | 35,000$14,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,550 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Over | 41c | 30,000$12,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,300 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Over | 41c | 25,999$10,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,659.59 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 43c | 23,760$10,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,320.11 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4940…05cbbacked Over | 43c | 16,541$7,113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,112.82 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Over | 41c | 7,500$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 52c | 7,083$3,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,386.34 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 43c | 3,488$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 41c | 1,920$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.48 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 45c | 1,774$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.01 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Over | 26c | 333.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.98 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Over | 44c | 299.99$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 43c | 250$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.4 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Under | 56c | 230$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.2 | 80 | 48.8%39 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 43c | 209.3$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f8d…edbebacked Over | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8c…237dbacked Under | 60c | 165$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x740b…1d47backed Over | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed85…bfacbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Over | 50c | 95.95$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.98 | 222 | 50.9%113 W · 109 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Over | 41c | 81.45$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.3 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 79$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 45c | 78.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 1,124 | 46.4%521 W · 603 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.1 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Over | 42c | 56$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 50c | 56$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Over | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad2…71f8backed Over | 43c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Over | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU Tigers: O/U 153.5this page
- Kentucky Wildcats vs. LSU TigersKentucky Wildcats won
- Spread: Kentucky Wildcats (-4.5)LSU Tigers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.