NHL · resolved market
Lightning vs. Flames
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbacc5c479ca6722331100302b222ee01a315b950d4e6f55b6f63b8b93a3d20e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lightningof Lightning, Flames
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,203
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,750
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,203 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3168…6734backed Flames | 23c | 3,036$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$698.22 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Lightning | 76c | 2,092$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.66 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6e…8b9cbacked Flames | 42c | 1,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Flames | 16c | 1,237$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.35 | 355 | 45.4%161 W · 194 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b88…d628backed Lightning | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.01 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…adcfbacked Lightning | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Flames | 20c | 948.97$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.79 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Lightning | 80c | 948.97$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Flames | 40c | 807.53$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.01 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Flames | 2c | 806.37$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.35 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Lightning | 44c | 562.43$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.96 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 40cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x188c…3d31backed Lightning | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Flames | 14c | 412.12$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 313 | 34.8%109 W · 204 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Flames | 41c | 376$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.16 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ad…f186backed Lightning | 59c | 254.24$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.24 | 135 | 62.2%84 W · 51 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Flames | 41c | 250.35$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.65 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Lightning | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…2aaebacked Flames | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Lightning | 58c | 241.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4673…d99bbacked Flames | 40c | 231.87$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Flames | 42c | 214.76$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.54 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3b72backed Lightning | 59c | 213.38$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc54…aad2backed Flames | 41c | 213.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c91…0505backed Lightning | 60c | 201.23$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.23 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…28fabacked Flames | 23c | 185.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Flames | 6c | 178.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13ce…35f0backed Lightning | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Lightning | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…c0abbacked Lightning | 60c | 166.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Lightning | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Flames | 41c | 148.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.05 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20cc…ebc0backed Flames | 45c | 146.14$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Flames | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…61a1backed Lightning | 59c | 101.76$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Flames | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 231 | 44.6%103 W · 128 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26af…a178backed Flames | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Flames | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf05…aa64backed Flames | 41c | 59.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6144…2fffbacked Lightning | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…bb7dbacked Lightning | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54dc…776ebacked Flames | 42c | 46.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a04…9331backed Lightning | 58c | 46.53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ee…743fbacked Lightning | 57c | 45.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf338…a99fbacked Flames | 34c | 43.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d07…555cbacked Flames | 42c | 41.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc19f…e7ecbacked Lightning | 57c | 40.61$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9576…ce79backed Flames | 41c | 40.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…26b0backed Flames | 42c | 39.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e5…62debacked Lightning | 59c | 39.85$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xded9…1437backed Lightning | 59c | 38.92$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5e9…7c09backed Lightning | 59c | 37.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb632…99e8backed Flames | 41c | 37.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc315…2fb0backed Flames | 42c | 36.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.45 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9e…465bbacked Lightning | 58c | 36.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a71…2919backed Flames | 41c | 36.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b9…a59fbacked Flames | 41c | 35.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x55c6…d8d3backed Flames | 41c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e0b…460bbacked Lightning | 59c | 34.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d7…e18ebacked Lightning | 58c | 33.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a0…875bbacked Flames | 42c | 33.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb1…2a78backed Lightning | 53c | 33.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a4f…eff3backed Flames | 42c | 32.35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8676…e6abbacked Flames | 41c | 31.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +74.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79de…b86bbacked Lightning | 59c | 31.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f5…b323backed Lightning | 58c | 31.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f01…8ebabacked Lightning | 59c | 31.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Lightning | 43c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.19 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…2b56backed Flames | 47c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…b04dbacked Lightning | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6102…b7f9backed Lightning | 56c | 27.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3661…611bbacked Lightning | 59c | 26.85$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f25…4347backed Flames | 41c | 25.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb8…3ec7backed Lightning | 59c | 25.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74a1…7d64backed Flames | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc224…cd43backed Lightning | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Lightning | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21a2…866dbacked Lightning | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Flames | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 724 | 48.3%350 W · 374 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c79…2793backed Lightning | 53c | 24.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +27%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53f2…1d15backed Flames | 47c | 24.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Lightning | 54c | 24.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdc…52cebacked Lightning | 58c | 24.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d7…3ccfbacked Flames | 42c | 24.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe046…fbf3backed Lightning | 59c | 24.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Lightning | 59c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 244 | 57.4%140 W · 104 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02e…20e1backed Lightning | 58c | 23.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2505…a4f7backed Lightning | 59c | 23.07$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e9…8decbacked Lightning | 59c | 21.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc341…f116backed Lightning | 61c | 20.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Lightning | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5708…4c79backed Lightning | 52c | 19.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9873…352dbacked Lightning | 53c | 19.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +105.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec73…85e4backed Lightning | 58c | 18.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa91a…0ea8backed Lightning | 58c | 18.24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…15c5backed Lightning | 57c | 18.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8346…a616backed Lightning | 59c | 17.88$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc886…dfafbacked Lightning | 59c | 17.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb310…877cbacked Lightning | 60c | 17.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.