Fifa International · resolved market
Alexander Isak: 1+ goals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbad156a4f9348cb73d67aae32550f033659fb22b40268dd5b4ed93e57e3be916
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 64c | 338.31$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.52 | 165 | 64.2%106 W · 59 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…3c2fbacked No | 65c | 327.75$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.04 | 327 | 65.7%215 W · 112 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 35c | 274.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.49 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 64c | 271.68$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.59 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e65…444cbacked Yes | 36c | 263.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.76 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 62c | 259.02$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.4 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 66c | 222$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.24 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 27c | 171.55$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.72 | 2,327 | 18.1%422 W · 1,905 L | -363.0wins | -0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6592…2767backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 137 | 18.2%25 W · 112 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde74…77abbacked No | 63c | 94.88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.77 | 288 | 73.3%211 W · 77 L | +21.7wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbb…3ec7backed Yes | 36c | 91.67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.67 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…7469backed Yes | 37c | 82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed No | 64c | 79.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 64c | 65.38$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…9294backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 494 | 26.7%132 W · 362 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226c…7d87backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd5…feb0backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 145 | 50.3%73 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecbb…a8c2backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed No | 64c | 42.13$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 317 | 47.6%151 W · 166 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…7c16backed No | 64c | 40.72$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Yes | 37c | 40.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.69 | 78 | 33.3%26 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 36c | 37.4$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd660…dd8bbacked Yes | 44c | 36.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 62c | 34.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 454 | 72.9%331 W · 123 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcff6…09bdbacked Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.12 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6621…22ccbacked Yes | 40c | 25.12$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alexander Isak: 1+ goalsthis page
- Alexander Isak: 1+ assistsYes won
- Alexander Isak: 2+ goalsNo won
- Anthony Elanga: 1+ assistsNo won
- Anthony Elanga: 1+ goalsNo won
- Benjamin Nygren: 1+ assistsNo won
- Benjamin Nygren: 3+ goalsNo won
- Firas Chaouat: 3+ goalsNo won
- Gustaf Nilsson: 3+ goalsNo won
- Hazem Mastouri: 1+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goalsYes won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goalsNo won
- Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goalsNo won
- Yasin Ayari: 1+ goalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.