Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA: Danka Kovinic vs Xiyu Wang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb2767dcc0d614a86a263ee8164414d3adeb4a79248ece24e2bd71d9f9254919
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Xiyu Wangof Danka Kovinic, Xiyu Wang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,016
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,016 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6125…4947backed Danka Kovinic | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Danka Kovinic | 5c | 5,525$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a00…9158backed Danka Kovinic | 6c | 4,880$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 788 | 40.6%320 W · 468 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Danka Kovinic | 7c | 4,000$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.26 | 593 | 48.9%290 W · 303 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Danka Kovinic | 4c | 3,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,090 | 35.9%391 W · 699 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Danka Kovinic | 4c | 1,881$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.53 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Danka Kovinic | 5c | 1,478$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Danka Kovinic | 6c | 1,174$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 204 | 12.7%26 W · 178 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Danka Kovinic | 5c | 999.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Danka Kovinic | 4c | 999.98$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Danka Kovinic | 4c | 999.96$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Danka Kovinic | 6c | 946.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.68 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Danka Kovinic | 8c | 662.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.72 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Danka Kovinic | 5c | 654.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.44 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Danka Kovinic | 4c | 642.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Danka Kovinic | 4c | 570.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…cd4ebacked Danka Kovinic | 7c | 404.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 249 | 45.4%113 W · 136 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Danka Kovinic | 5c | 261.41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.46 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked Danka Kovinic | 6c | 234.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.