CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5f7eba327193d8c7b01211f58a4d1eaa93fa2b521c58d9ef5998da7dadbe49
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Inner Circle Esportsof 3DMAX, Inner Circle Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Inner Circle Esports | 34c | 4,365$1,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,883.49 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed 3DMAX | 66c | 1,994$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.01 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 1,413$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.3 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Inner Circle Esports | 27c | 1,350$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980.5 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6937…085dbacked Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 1,242$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.41 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed 3DMAX | 69c | 735.53$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.52 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked 3DMAX | 65c | 666$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.9 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Inner Circle Esports | 65c | 531.88$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.88 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Inner Circle Esports | 28c | 515.78$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.55 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Inner Circle Esports | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed 3DMAX | 23c | 372.88$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.84 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aaa…0c04backed 3DMAX | 70c | 356.26$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66a…9157backed Inner Circle Esports | 36c | 345.24$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.24 | 102 | 38.2%39 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 3DMAX | 65c | 340.84$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.55 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ec…18f4backed Inner Circle Esports | 29c | 312.66$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.64 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed 3DMAX | 65c | 281.74$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.13 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Inner Circle Esports | 35c | 213.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Inner Circle Esports | 55c | 182.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…71d6backed 3DMAX | 70c | 172.34$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3240…9172backed 3DMAX | 59c | 152.46$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed 3DMAX | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked 3DMAX | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed 3DMAX | 67c | 147.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed 3DMAX | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…b27fbacked 3DMAX | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf97…beb5backed Inner Circle Esports | 29c | 126.02$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.02 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Inner Circle Esports | 39c | 113.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.48 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked 3DMAX | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd053…3202backed 3DMAX | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked 3DMAX | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed 3DMAX | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3f…676cbacked 3DMAX | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +7.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed 3DMAX | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked 3DMAX | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked 3DMAX | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…b646backed Inner Circle Esports | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 87 | 37.9%33 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb569…6fe0backed 3DMAX | 66c | 46.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 384 | 52.3%201 W · 183 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked 3DMAX | 58c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b3…5411backed 3DMAX | 68c | 29.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.11 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed 3DMAX | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed 3DMAX | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.