Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Viktorija Golubic vs Fiona Crawley
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7604c6ba1f7b08d03ba2bf248712cc65353ff43598612f7b4d3f9882ced994
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golubicof Golubic, Crawley
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,139
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,383
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,139 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde9f…b8f7backed Golubic | 55c | 39,524$21,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,688.22 | 137 | 54.7%75 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Crawley | 44c | 20,375$8,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,896.62 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Crawley | 44c | 6,514$2,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,861.6 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Crawley | 31c | 4,985$1,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,531.79 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Crawley | 47c | 2,557$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190.37 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Crawley | 36c | 2,513$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Crawley | 24c | 2,442$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.06 | 1,658 | 49.9%828 W · 830 L | +7.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Crawley | 21c | 1,884$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.55 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Golubic | 56c | 1,375$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.35 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Crawley | 13c | 1,356$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.59 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Crawley | 22c | 1,249$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.53 | 288 | 35.1%101 W · 187 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golubic | 67c | 1,223$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.68 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Crawley | 43c | 1,200$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Crawley | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Crawley | 47c | 754.17$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.91 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Crawley | 27c | 742.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.97 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Crawley | 36c | 672.08$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Crawley | 31c | 658.39$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.42 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Golubic | 54c | 615$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.06 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Crawley | 28c | 606.59$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.63 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Crawley | 37c | 602.47$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.42 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Crawley | 21c | 589.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.51 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Golubic | 72c | 530.92$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.28 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7577…a1babacked Golubic | 75c | 521.84$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.46 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Golubic | 44c | 450.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.44 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Crawley | 46c | 448$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.36 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Crawley | 43c | 276$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5661…6323backed Crawley | 27c | 218.96$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.12 | 102 | 67.6%69 W · 33 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Crawley | 47c | 209.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Crawley | 43c | 204.65$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 139 | 23.7%33 W · 106 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Crawley | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 328 | 42.7%140 W · 188 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x566f…bbf7backed Crawley | 26c | 191.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Crawley | 26c | 190.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Crawley | 26c | 189.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Golubic | 74c | 160.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.61 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Golubic | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Golubic | 74c | 149.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 160 | 46.9%75 W · 85 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Crawley | 36c | 141.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Golubic | 57c | 141.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6809…b188backed Golubic | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Crawley | 42c | 119$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 925 | 48.8%451 W · 474 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Golubic | 51c | 117.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.73 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Golubic | 75c | 111$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 210 | 72.4%152 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Crawley | 27c | 110.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Crawley | 26c | 108$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Crawley | 51c | 106.91$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.52 | 103 | 48.5%50 W · 53 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Golubic | 74c | 100.06$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Crawley | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 200 | 39%78 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Crawley | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Crawley | 58c | 87.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Crawley | 18c | 82.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.08 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Crawley | 26c | 60.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Golubic | 68c | 39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.57 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd744…af4abacked Crawley | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Golubic | 74c | 33.27$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81c0…8b96backed Crawley | 43c | 28.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba5…e557backed Golubic | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 83 | 74.7%62 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd300…6ab7backed Crawley | 53c | 25.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Crawley | 41c | 24.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…ffb3backed Golubic | 79c | 22.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…3189backed Golubic | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Golubic | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9894…65debacked Golubic | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…ff36backed Golubic | 78c | 18.29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdab8…1bc7backed Golubic | 74c | 13.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.52 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…1a6bbacked Golubic | 76c | 13.16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.