Akron Zips vs. Bowling Green Falcons

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7720743b7902535e6df40c05ac56b4836d29ecd1b8b34775f5f1eaa7d5eb61

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Akron Zipsof Akron Zips, Bowling Green Falcons
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $15,072
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $17,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,072 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2652…2a1dbacked Akron Zips	66c	1,061$705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$356.52	4,848	52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L	+139.2wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed Bowling Green Falcons	21c	1,060$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.3	423	27.2%115 W · 308 L	-10.9wins	-0.03per pick	30cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Bowling Green Falcons	41c	935$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$383.35	1,231	47%578 W · 653 L	-17.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Bowling Green Falcons	26c	759.26$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	90	37.8%34 W · 56 L	-2.7wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Bowling Green Falcons	24c	666$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.24	149	25.5%38 W · 111 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked Bowling Green Falcons	9c	600$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	252	54.8%138 W · 114 L	-15.7wins	-0.06per pick	61cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Bowling Green Falcons	24c	543$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.23	2,254	42.2%951 W · 1,303 L	+3.4wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Bowling Green Falcons	13c	521.76$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.83	1,074	43.3%465 W · 609 L	+20.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Akron Zips	65c	518$336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$182.39	2,579	47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L	-42.7wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3010…a27cbacked Bowling Green Falcons	15c	486.71$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.69	140	21.4%30 W · 110 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bowling Green Falcons	34c	460.78$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.79	12,422	49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L	+118.8wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Akron Zips	64c	344.06$220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.86	244	51.2%125 W · 119 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	0%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Bowling Green Falcons	26c	303$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.78	722	48.8%352 W · 370 L	-23.6wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26e2…1a63backed Bowling Green Falcons	18c	281.07$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	19.7%13 W · 53 L	-4.2wins	-0.06per pick	26cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Akron Zips	63c	200$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$74	820	48.2%395 W · 425 L	+6.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Bowling Green Falcons	17c	172.95$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.29	2,124	50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L	+40.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bowling Green Falcons	27c	132$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.4	497	47.5%236 W · 261 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47cb…dfdabacked Bowling Green Falcons	9c	130.2$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	365	35.9%131 W · 234 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x954b…eb22backed Bowling Green Falcons	36c	100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	62	35.5%22 W · 40 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-22%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Bowling Green Falcons	13c	97.17$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.81	369	42.3%156 W · 213 L	-9.5wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bowling Green Falcons	21c	94.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.95	1,985	64.1%1,273 W · 712 L	+144.2wins	+0.07per pick	57cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Bowling Green Falcons	22c	83.52$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.46	459	53.8%247 W · 212 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Bowling Green Falcons	36c	81.69$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.41	4,552	50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L	-36.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Akron Zips	59c	79.92$47 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.04	1,391	44.1%613 W · 778 L	-10.6wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Bowling Green Falcons	26c	69$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.04	614	46.1%283 W · 331 L	-8.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d21…b038backed Akron Zips	66c	60.61$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.61	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.9wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+84.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a23…97a7backed Bowling Green Falcons	34c	60.51$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.57	215	35.3%76 W · 139 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed Bowling Green Falcons	20c	50$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	643	22.9%147 W · 496 L	-17.1wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x581b…f083backed Bowling Green Falcons	41c	38.54$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	29	48.3%14 W · 15 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Akron Zips	80c	34.32$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.93	735	49.1%361 W · 374 L	-14.6wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Akron Zips	59c	34$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.94	605	48.9%296 W · 309 L	+10.3wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Bowling Green Falcons	41c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	1,070	46.9%502 W · 568 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x83fb…e89bbacked Akron Zips	66c	28$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.52	169	52.7%89 W · 80 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Akron Zips	79c	21$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.41	117	43.6%51 W · 66 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba34…7e93backed Akron Zips	79c	20$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.25	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-1.1wins	-0.07per pick	61cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1db3…ada1backed Akron Zips	61c	20$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.71	350	50.3%176 W · 174 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8b…d3d6backed Akron Zips	76c	19.6$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.64	307	46.3%142 W · 165 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b51…7292backed Akron Zips	69c	18$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.58	20	80%16 W · 4 L	+2.1wins	+0.11per pick	69cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Akron Zips vs. Bowling Green Falconsthis page
Spread: Akron Zips (-4.5)Akron Zips won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Akron Zips vs. Bowling Green Falcons

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event