CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3593501cd9190d06fda99844da1a26ddd94fcb60fbce8e21e2059c22ad4984
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof Rebels Gaming, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Rebels Gaming | 36c | 1,035$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.62 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 935.18$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 743.66$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.8 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 600.01$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.12 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Rebels Gaming | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 410.78$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.09 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 345.96$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.61 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 20c | 314.84$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.91 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 222.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.21 | 233 | 35.2%82 W · 151 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Rebels Gaming | 24c | 205.94$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.69 | 401 | 41.6%167 W · 234 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4255…1792backed Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 194.02$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 148 | 39.9%59 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 194.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.83 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcef5…e9acbacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 188.23$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.12 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 187.49$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.83 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Rebels Gaming | 59c | 187.03$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…27b7backed Rebels Gaming | 55c | 183.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Rebels Gaming | 55c | 180$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…d97cbacked Rebels Gaming | 54c | 152.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 587 | 45.5%267 W · 320 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Rebels Gaming | 54c | 147$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc4b…8410backed Bushido Wildcats | 71c | 143$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…d1acbacked Rebels Gaming | 55c | 100.96$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.38 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 370 | 50.5%187 W · 183 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8248…c0b2backed Bushido Wildcats | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 207 | 50.7%105 W · 102 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x326d…3584backed Rebels Gaming | 24c | 78.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 47 | 21.3%10 W · 37 L | -13.4wins | -0.29per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 29-0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 69$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.79 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 67.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.27 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rebels Gaming | 38c | 66.83$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.68 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rebels Gaming | 18c | 58.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Rebels Gaming | 54c | 51.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…fcc2backed Rebels Gaming | 53c | 48.4$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.65 | 82 | 50%41 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 40.86$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rebels Gaming | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Bushido Wildcats | 45c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked Rebels Gaming | 50c | 29.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Rebels Gaming | 54c | 29.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…09e3backed Rebels Gaming | 38c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Bushido Wildcats | 48c | 26.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 72c | 25.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.96 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53c9…234dbacked Rebels Gaming | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.08 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2c…d0dfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 14.45$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.45 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -8.0wins | -0.18per pick | 66cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
- Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.