CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc39b7aaadd65e51a19a889ec4391b5bc57c9fb32ce4b35ceb428a344f24794a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,534
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,363
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,534 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Over | 0c | 10,030$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 2,695$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.33 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Under | 70c | 2,143$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.6 | 613 | 38.2%234 W · 379 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fda…f190backed Under | 67c | 1,476$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 56c | 959.09$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.94 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 34c | 952.53$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.19 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 38c | 829.87$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.46 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Under | 72c | 693.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.77 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 55c | 602$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.56 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Under | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Over | 35c | 356.92$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f3…9b44backed Over | 28c | 309.37$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.62 | 74 | 25.7%19 W · 55 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Over | 35c | 290.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 18c | 278.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 38.3%92 W · 148 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked Under | 72c | 277.8$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Over | 22c | 227.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.95 | 109 | 52.3%57 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed Under | 64c | 225.25$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 197.75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 170$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fe…f0fbbacked Under | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79d1…68b3backed Under | 16c | 150$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 11cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd8…a5bebacked Over | 33c | 125.27$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.34 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cea…edf1backed Over | 33c | 106.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…26f0backed Under | 16c | 80$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.2 | 52 | 25%13 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +211.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60b8…d47dbacked Under | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 608 | 57.2%348 W · 260 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -5.0wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed Over | 23c | 54.03$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Over | 27c | 50.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Under | 80c | 48$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Over | 43c | 44.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.18 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Over | 28c | 43.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc2…0375backed Under | 72c | 43.33$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 38c | 37.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 229 | 31.4%72 W · 157 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Over | 31c | 36.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…0a4abacked Under | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01cc…21f5backed Under | 67c | 26.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro (BO3)Vitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.