Other European Leagues · resolved market
Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc41998e4b0452537f5532cc627275fb708c10a9f352f61d23af3e998ce0f409
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,265
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,265 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 40c | 3,538$1,406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,132.81 | 518 | 42.1%218 W · 300 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 79c | 3,114$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.94 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 760.49$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.97 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 30c | 741.79$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa18c…d792backed Under | 48c | 719.76$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.54 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb418…ef38backed Over | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed Under | 80c | 351.2$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.96 | 174 | 60.3%105 W · 69 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd0…ebd0backed Over | 75c | 208.33$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.4 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 20c | 159.65$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.72 | 911 | 48%437 W · 474 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 40c | 76.9$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.14 | 143 | 32.2%46 W · 97 L | -12.9wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 46.15$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.12 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862f…200bbacked Under | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 78cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed Under | 65c | 35.66$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -9.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Under | 51c | 30.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.52 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8084…abe8backed Under | 80c | 27.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd97…ae50backed Under | 54c | 21.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 75c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.73 | 197 | 29.9%59 W · 138 L | -21.8wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 65c | 15.4$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5this page
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Sønderjyske Fodbold O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.