Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdf2f4aa0970adbb3c3e38866e270d0a25af05f69dd1c36489600911bbb1d332
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sønderjyske Fodboldof Brøndby IF, Sønderjyske Fodbold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,682
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 50c | 13,310$6,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,592.84 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6f…1dfebacked Brøndby IF | 38c | 10,000$3,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,842.36 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x298b…f406backed Brøndby IF | 45c | 3,857$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brøndby IF | 74c | 3,024$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.63 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 55c | 1,800$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x851b…961ebacked Brøndby IF | 45c | 1,325$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601 | 76 | 38.2%29 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Brøndby IF | 46c | 1,287$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.66 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 62c | 736.93$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.77 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 54c | 555.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.55 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 56c | 316$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 60c | 291.54$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.79 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 54c | 242.08$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 56c | 236.33$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.12 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 55c | 232.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 50c | 230.9$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.09 | 322 | 57.8%186 W · 136 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 49c | 227.48$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.92 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 55c | 227$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.15 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 56c | 223$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 55c | 167.8$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.51 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 60c | 165.22$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.2 | 297 | 54.5%162 W · 135 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Brøndby IF | 39c | 120.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 62c | 120$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 110 | 22.7%25 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…52a2backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 60c | 116.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.21 | 126 | 64.3%81 W · 45 L | +16.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Brøndby IF | 44c | 106.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 54c | 101.02$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.47 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.4 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 38c | 99.43$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.76 | 244 | 66%161 W · 83 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 39c | 94.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 339 | 59%200 W · 139 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 55c | 80.94$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 55c | 47.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 37c | 40.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 638 | 49.5%316 W · 322 L | +26.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 35c | 30.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.06 | 351 | 63.5%223 W · 128 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…dd26backed Brøndby IF | 45c | 30.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbb…07d9backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 61c | 25.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 76 | 71.1%54 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 71c | 21.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)this page
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Sønderjyske Fodbold O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.