Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4435f89488284811971ac17df85d8a5e4b003c8fa66310ab241281a7cc4292cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sønderjyske Fodboldof Brøndby IF, Sønderjyske Fodbold
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,122
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,122 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfecc…7551backed Brøndby IF | 35c | 368.12$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.25 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Brøndby IF | 24c | 269.42$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.75 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 61c | 202.23$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.07 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 75c | 126.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 176 | 50%88 W · 88 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 73c | 118.52$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Brøndby IF | 47c | 94.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.16 | 2,001 | 36.5%730 W · 1,271 L | -25.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 66 | 69.7%46 W · 20 L | +10.8wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9e…208cbacked Brøndby IF | 19c | 60.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 57c | 47.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 74c | 47.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 77c | 45.28$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.38 | 273 | 60.8%166 W · 107 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Brøndby IF | 40c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 80c | 35.29$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Sønderjyske Fodbold | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…bd81backed Sønderjyske Fodbold | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-2.5)this page
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 0.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 1.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 2.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 3.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 4.5Over won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: O/U 5.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Sønderjyske Fodbold 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Brøndby IF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold: Sønderjyske Fodbold O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Brøndby IF (-1.5)Sønderjyske Fodbold won
- Spread: Sønderjyske Fodbold (-1.5)Brøndby IF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.