TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Old Dominion Monarchs vs. Georgia Southern Eagles

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Georgia Southern Eaglesof Old Dominion Monarchs, Georgia Southern Eagles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,011

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,011 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Old Dominion Monarchs16c4,205$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.585,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Old Dominion Monarchs1c2,413$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.12,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs6c1,502$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.361,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Georgia Southern Eagles70c1,262$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.343,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles68c1,219$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$393.8149345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Georgia Southern Eagles61c1,109$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$435.862,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Old Dominion Monarchs41c1,080$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.582,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Old Dominion Monarchs29c948.37$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.61,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Old Dominion Monarchs13c846.07$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.944,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked Old Dominion Monarchs43c691.47$297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.3355532.8%182 W · 373 L+15.5wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c460.97$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.2221149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs8c438.24$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.051,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeca1…57e4backed Old Dominion Monarchs11c357.93$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.873938.5%15 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked Old Dominion Monarchs3c353.57$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.254238.1%16 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c353.06$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.821,44643.4%627 W · 819 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Old Dominion Monarchs42c330.65$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.8712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Old Dominion Monarchs12c272.86$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.3993447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Old Dominion Monarchs44c198.28$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.362,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Georgia Southern Eagles75c179.71$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.2325337.5%95 W · 158 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Old Dominion Monarchs27c178.4$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.841,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e7cbacked Georgia Southern Eagles60c159.31$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.54843.8%21 W · 27 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Old Dominion Monarchs44c156.71$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.8577142.3%326 W · 445 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Georgia Southern Eagles58c138.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.193,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Old Dominion Monarchs40c137.88$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1513141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf43c…d7c3backed Georgia Southern Eagles56c100$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4449157.2%281 W · 210 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Old Dominion Monarchs29c99.28$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.7942934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Georgia Southern Eagles57c99.14$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.687561.3%46 W · 29 L+6.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Old Dominion Monarchs43c92.23$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6631647.8%151 W · 165 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb02…0f88backed Georgia Southern Eagles60c92.23$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.78641.9%36 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf72…b4a6backed Georgia Southern Eagles58c86.51$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.569470.2%66 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e40…cf85backed Old Dominion Monarchs44c86.35$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.9921937.4%82 W · 137 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf60…f8d5backed Georgia Southern Eagles58c85.47$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.98051.3%41 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead8…ce1abacked Georgia Southern Eagles70c70.9$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.272458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick55cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Old Dominion Monarchs43c65.04$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9710543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5c3…9792backed Georgia Southern Eagles58c38.74$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4527055.6%150 W · 120 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e01…7ef0backed Georgia Southern Eagles56c35.39$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.5722950.7%116 W · 113 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd08…84b0backed Old Dominion Monarchs47c31.03$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5629954.2%162 W · 137 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Georgia Southern Eagles72c20.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.797057.1%40 W · 30 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7789…d6c0backed Georgia Southern Eagles63c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.329353.8%50 W · 43 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-3.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.