Tennis · resolved market
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Federico Bondioli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcca3d6aab1a87f0882ee3497196f9129d9cc38926de5df8d85881738e6daea6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Federico Bondioli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,528
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,509
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,528 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Federico Bondioli | 19c | 4,848$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.82 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 3,610$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$793.91 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Federico Bondioli | 38c | 939.44$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.3 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Federico Bondioli | 21c | 896.59$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.58 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Federico Bondioli | 37c | 599.98$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.59 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Federico Bondioli | 8c | 422.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 409.43$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked Federico Bondioli | 38c | 407.89$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Federico Bondioli | 16c | 325.12$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 252.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 187.5$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.37 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 74c | 162.21$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.17 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21f…9fe3backed Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 156.37$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.86 | 5,009 | 41.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L | -82.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85db…d0e7backed Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 142.86$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.86 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Marco Cecchinato | 62c | 141$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.58 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e4…24c2backed Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 267 | 59.6%159 W · 108 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Federico Bondioli | 17c | 117$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Federico Bondioli | 37c | 117$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.29 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Federico Bondioli | 37c | 109$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.33 | 452 | 51.8%234 W · 218 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Federico Bondioli | 38c | 83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Marco Cecchinato | 72c | 79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 1,772 | 52.1%923 W · 849 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Federico Bondioli | 36c | 78.03$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Federico Bondioli | 36c | 71.26$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 2,521 | 38.4%969 W · 1,552 L | +93.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Marco Cecchinato | 63c | 61.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 369 | 64.2%237 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Marco Cecchinato | 65c | 53.79$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Federico Bondioli | 38c | 50.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 2,887 | 39.5%1,141 W · 1,746 L | -84.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Marco Cecchinato | 78c | 49.51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 917 | 55.5%509 W · 408 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…f7eebacked Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Marco Cecchinato | 62c | 39.97$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae63…9dcdbacked Marco Cecchinato | 64c | 31.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 206 | 51.9%107 W · 99 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Marco Cecchinato | 72c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Federico Bondioli | 37c | 26.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…3503backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 25.06$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 119 | 68.9%82 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Marco Cecchinato | 77c | 15.58$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.58 | 2,868 | 49.5%1,419 W · 1,449 L | +23.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.