CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbcd978417c0432dcabdcf4ab4f27f42951282a27bb7a4f7110cc5757f55bdd10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, Crashers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,582
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,231
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,582 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Crashers | 28c | 960.56$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.43 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Players | 68c | 888.78$601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.3 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…88dbbacked Players | 66c | 642.59$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…6951backed Players | 77c | 580.35$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e88…5ddabacked Players | 68c | 564.12$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.23 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ab…7954backed Crashers | 51c | 424.74$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…ec00backed Crashers | 64c | 325.97$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.62 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f2…6bb7backed Players | 73c | 317.78$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e57…acaabacked Crashers | 20c | 248.87$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…196fbacked Crashers | 42c | 238.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe082…b39ebacked Crashers | 24c | 230.79$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Players | 46c | 207.13$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.55 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Crashers | 31c | 163.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Crashers | 32c | 158.63$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -44%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c21…c02bbacked Crashers | 48c | 125.96$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Players | 63c | 117.83$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…e5dbbacked Players | 66c | 114.45$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 126 | 69%87 W · 39 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9388…8b79backed Crashers | 23c | 109.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Crashers | 28c | 101.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Players | 47c | 77.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Players | 75c | 73.52$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed Crashers | 29c | 70$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…ed72backed Players | 70c | 58.25$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Players | 73c | 55$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 54 | 83.3%45 W · 9 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 67cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Players | 73c | 52.19$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.09 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Crashers | 46c | 51.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c55…84cebacked Players | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 335 | 39.4%132 W · 203 L | -19.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Crashers | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Players | 71c | 46.45$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.47 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Players | 50c | 45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Crashers | 53c | 40.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Crashers | 45c | 34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Crashers | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd647…909abacked Players | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd420…01fcbacked Players | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…a27cbacked Players | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Players | 66c | 22.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 273 | 48.4%132 W · 141 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…e373backed Crashers | 49c | 20.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Players | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Crashers (BO3) - CCT South America Series #8 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Crashers - Map 1 WinnerPlayers won
- Counter-Strike: Players vs Crashers - Map 2 WinnerCrashers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.