Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 30?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbce559ebac2f7a89c680e8e679ede59dc4c71b4954e2c80812f4d3fef551a570
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,737
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,645
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,737 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 1c | 4,986$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.86 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 5c | 578.82$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a6…703dbacked Yes | 56c | 465.58$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.19 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e3…a50cbacked Yes | 53c | 417.47$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.86 | 214 | 36%77 W · 137 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked No | 18c | 320.14$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.49 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 60c | 315.55$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.18 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 39c | 263.06$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.12 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672f…13ccbacked Yes | 61c | 249.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 330 | 58.8%194 W · 136 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91d9…141dbacked No | 51c | 225.86$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 1,256 | 38.2%480 W · 776 L | +53.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…f21dbacked Yes | 58c | 211$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.32 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf787…1b63backed Yes | 66c | 205.74$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.17 | 432 | 38%164 W · 268 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 55c | 193.98$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5889…1927backed Yes | 58c | 155.94$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.22 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc8…2389backed No | 67c | 145.82$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 171 | 56.7%97 W · 74 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 46c | 137.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 44c | 135.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.28 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed No | 44c | 115.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.24 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 50c | 109.96$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7e…8a3cbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c8…d7c5backed No | 47c | 85.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.04 | 241 | 49.8%120 W · 121 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 43c | 81.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9907…ca66backed Yes | 48c | 80.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Yes | 62c | 79.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.35 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47e…f8abbacked No | 53c | 77.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 240 | 66.3%159 W · 81 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d84…4ff1backed No | 69c | 74.48$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 295 | 58%171 W · 124 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8827…5d62backed Yes | 36c | 73.22$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 1,772 | 50.5%895 W · 877 L | +43.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 42c | 72.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9686…1701backed Yes | 51c | 68.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.44 | 351 | 33.6%118 W · 233 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked No | 72c | 68.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 60c | 63.67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.99 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 50c | 62.25$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x7515…0f90backed No | 57c | 60.09$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.25 | 159 | 54.7%87 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b29…623bbacked No | 21c | 60.02$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 268 | 28.7%77 W · 191 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 56c | 59.73$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.55 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 66c | 59.32$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…f315backed Yes | 34c | 58.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 139 | 30.2%42 W · 97 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c28…73a4backed No | 51c | 54.58$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 53.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.64 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc25d…67b3backed Yes | 59c | 51.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.77 | 111 | 61.3%68 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0299…8739backed No | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 45c | 49.27$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…c7bfbacked Yes | 59c | 48.96$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…2cfebacked Yes | 44c | 44.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…c61bbacked No | 48c | 41.95$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 73c | 40.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.34 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77f0…2b1fbacked Yes | 32c | 40.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 3,028 | 49.8%1,509 W · 1,519 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd07a…4ccdbacked No | 45c | 37.26$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…4d6dbacked No | 54c | 36.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ef5…0366backed Yes | 47c | 33.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…f0dcbacked No | 49c | 33.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 47c | 32.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc921…d6f3backed No | 40c | 32.17$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 153 | 39.9%61 W · 92 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…6cecbacked Yes | 52c | 31.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 46c | 31.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 40c | 30.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…1116backed No | 59c | 30.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff29…f008backed No | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…c863backed No | 45c | 28.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 899 | 51.6%464 W · 435 L | -40.0wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed93…037cbacked Yes | 41c | 28.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.92 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…b4a9backed Yes | 38c | 28.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.47 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8205…66bdbacked No | 53c | 27.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Yes | 40c | 27.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.6 | 368 | 19.6%72 W · 296 L | +21.9wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f27…2dfcbacked Yes | 44c | 26.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe45…fd22backed No | 44c | 25.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.21 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed No | 49c | 25.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…fca3backed Yes | 44c | 25.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65c4…7ea4backed Yes | 57c | 25.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 559 | 42.6%238 W · 321 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…0634backed Yes | 62c | 24.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192a…b0a6backed No | 55c | 24.57$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 201 | 50.7%102 W · 99 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…19f4backed No | 48c | 24.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 49c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61a0…0ae9backed Yes | 61c | 23.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -42%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…7935backed No | 55c | 22.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 53 | 75.5%40 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 61c | 22.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 54c | 21.94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a99…1838backed No | 59c | 21.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 97 | 70.1%68 W · 29 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 75cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5374…d802backed No | 58c | 20.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca1…c1bebacked Yes | 57c | 19.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 64c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 30?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 42-43°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 44-45°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 46-47°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 30?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 30?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.