Tennis · resolved market
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilagan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd2f8b9e0a6bf1e46416c9f33605390404b7c0bb00d1cf8722276fe401e44c3d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcos Gironof Marcos Giron, Andre Ilagan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $65,034
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,739
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,034 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Andre Ilagan | 9c | 23,182$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.16 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andre Ilagan | 10c | 4,320$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.31 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Andre Ilagan | 12c | 2,908$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef53…4591backed Andre Ilagan | 9c | 2,340$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 175 | 43.4%76 W · 99 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Andre Ilagan | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Andre Ilagan | 15c | 1,025$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.77 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Andre Ilagan | 15c | 932.88$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.95 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa63…f061backed Andre Ilagan | 15c | 667.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.69 | 75 | 38.7%29 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Andre Ilagan | 7c | 466.57$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.66 | 277 | 24.9%69 W · 208 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Andre Ilagan | 16c | 332.98$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Andre Ilagan | 12c | 250$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Andre Ilagan | 13c | 248.46$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 1,429 | 44.2%631 W · 798 L | -23.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Andre Ilagan | 8c | 237.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Andre Ilagan | 14c | 227.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.42 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Andre Ilagan | 15c | 212.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Andre Ilagan | 19c | 202.63$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.36 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Andre Ilagan | 9c | 178.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Andre Ilagan | 8c | 173.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Andre Ilagan | 16c | 146.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1,729 | 48.9%845 W · 884 L | +53.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8d…7688backed Andre Ilagan | 10c | 111.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 331 | 65%215 W · 116 L | +22.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c0…22ebbacked Andre Ilagan | 11c | 103.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 405 | 27.2%110 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Andre Ilagan | 12c | 81.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Andre Ilagan | 16c | 71.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Andre Ilagan | 15c | 69.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Andre Ilagan | 16c | 68.03$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 1,679 | 48.1%808 W · 871 L | +36.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Marcos Giron vs Andre Ilaganthis page
- Set Handicap: Giron (-1.5) vs Ilagan (+1.5)Giron won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.