Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd4be4cf8dcb3d1d4af832bf94ac7206b6755cd7dcc08dcd92f23affcb4e4d12
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,746
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4340…fe15backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x030d…7ce5backed No | 24c | 966.87$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6409…9411backed No | 3c | 850.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.96 | 825 | 62.2%513 W · 312 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80bd…a8cdbacked Yes | 79c | 535.18$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.41 | 168 | 40.5%68 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb69b…368ebacked No | 61c | 435.4$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.6 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 4c | 373.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 65c | 306.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.54 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 39c | 281$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.9 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38a7…d69dbacked No | 58c | 279.43$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.38 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -12.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 36c | 270.27$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.83 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…674ebacked Yes | 77c | 229.47$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.67 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65f7…ff15backed No | 63c | 219.61$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.48 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16c9…17afbacked Yes | 39c | 218.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 36c | 214.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.32 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 33c | 196.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 21c | 196.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.08 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 183.72$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.99 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 68c | 150.31$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.43 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1add…a268backed Yes | 50c | 148.88$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…db74backed Yes | 62c | 129.21$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 29c | 126.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.91 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 67c | 120.72$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed Yes | 77c | 117.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.49 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf55f…8e92backed No | 24c | 103.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b37…2e48backed Yes | 61c | 102.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 71 | 70.4%50 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…8210backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.8 | 541 | 54%292 W · 249 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.15 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf362…0505backed Yes | 45c | 88.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.85 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…405abacked Yes | 43c | 82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.08 | 790 | 40.9%323 W · 467 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 55c | 77.18$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.45 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4967backed Yes | 77c | 74.2$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 498 | 54.6%272 W · 226 L | +46.4wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 43c | 68.97$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.31 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd628…9356backed Yes | 42c | 67.25$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 133 | 44.4%59 W · 74 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 59c | 60.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 27c | 56.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 31c | 56.21$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0479…8cbbbacked Yes | 49c | 54.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.64 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked No | 56c | 53.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6c…1e6dbacked Yes | 35c | 52.46$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.1 | 327 | 38.2%125 W · 202 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x232a…4895backed No | 58c | 51.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | -9.8wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 49c | 51.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x615b…2ba8backed Yes | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36e1…eb43backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 165 | 52.1%86 W · 79 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 75c | 49.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3172…e940backed No | 58c | 49$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.58 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 51c | 48.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.79 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…dbffbacked Yes | 45c | 48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.48 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19dc…055fbacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 35cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3176…7628backed No | 29c | 47.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1600…9236backed Yes | 44c | 46.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.01 | 354 | 32.5%115 W · 239 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a26…c335backed No | 53c | 46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 862 | 26.8%231 W · 631 L | +28.6wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…d571backed Yes | 44c | 44.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 2,225 | 49.2%1,094 W · 1,131 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d7…0ff9backed Yes | 79c | 44.51$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 382 | 58.9%225 W · 157 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 46c | 43.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.7 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…3304backed No | 54c | 43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.22 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa9…1a52backed No | 61c | 41.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 73cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b1…6754backed Yes | 70c | 39.68$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 354 | 65%230 W · 124 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 46c | 39.04$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 62c | 38.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…bd14backed No | 51c | 37.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdf…28a2backed Yes | 39c | 37.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 561 | 31.7%178 W · 383 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7969…9fecbacked No | 67c | 37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 79 | 29.1%23 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c69…4622backed No | 56c | 34.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 562 | 65.5%368 W · 194 L | +35.2wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…4c65backed Yes | 60c | 33.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 278 | 52.9%147 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 62c | 33.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…1635backed Yes | 39c | 30.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd333…53f9backed Yes | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…e042backed No | 34c | 29.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 445 | 53.3%237 W · 208 L | -21.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7efd…caedbacked Yes | 42c | 28.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.41 | 170 | 25.3%43 W · 127 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 62c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cf…ae32backed Yes | 77c | 21.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.88 | 80 | 61.3%49 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1118…bba7backed Yes | 76c | 21.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 20 | 80%16 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 75cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c66…f4d3backed No | 62c | 20.32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 247 | 70%173 W · 74 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5848…1e49backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 863 | 62.9%543 W · 320 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…707fbacked Yes | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 44 | 75%33 W · 11 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa907…ba96backed Yes | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 60c | 17.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 76c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.02 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…a8f6backed Yes | 79c | 15.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.11 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on May 1?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on May 1?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.