South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd7fc18d5eab17eb6cf516ca8ffc9d2784a80f6b6cdb8a4917fcf5ce0ff1f2f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,573
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 3,896$1,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,591.59 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 64c | 2,932$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,059.01 | 752 | 40.8%307 W · 445 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 55c | 1,462$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.84 | 2,281 | 34.3%782 W · 1,499 L | -30.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5693…8b76backed Yes | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.42 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No | 52c | 393.81$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.89 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -7.6wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 79c | 261.62$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.96 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 67c | 225.18$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.31 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a5…d45abacked Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 55c | 195.66$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.05 | 1,302 | 50.2%653 W · 649 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 54c | 160.59$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.87 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 33c | 144.27$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 1,439 | 37.5%540 W · 899 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 42c | 103.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.02 | 951 | 55.8%531 W · 420 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 127 | 37.8%48 W · 79 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 245 | 35.5%87 W · 158 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed Yes | 21c | 96.59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -7.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 41c | 94.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.05 | 601 | 56.2%338 W · 263 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 60c | 88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.2 | 96 | 32.3%31 W · 65 L | -9.1wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked No | 60c | 71.22$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 308 | 47.7%147 W · 161 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 42c | 46.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 630 | 61.3%386 W · 244 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 69c | 43.4$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 352 | 40.3%142 W · 210 L | -28.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 73c | 36$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 896 | 45.4%407 W · 489 L | -23.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 64c | 33.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 46c | 24.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 126 | 62.7%79 W · 47 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 74c | 20.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 429 | 46.2%198 W · 231 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Unión end in a draw?this page
- Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2026-08-15?Yes won
- Will CA Unión win on 2026-08-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.