Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Daria Egorova vs Oceane Babel
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd8d3dc351dd3f238b332103f0eabe67a36adc1f945fe88c9b8fdb6f7cdc8246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oceane Babelof Daria Egorova, Oceane Babel
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,339
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Egorova | 28c | 12,881$3,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,572.94 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Oceane Babel | 70c | 10,698$7,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.06 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Egorova | 18c | 1,294$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.32 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Oceane Babel | 54c | 1,020$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.44 | 2,754 | 53.8%1,481 W · 1,273 L | +71.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Oceane Babel | 67c | 211.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Daria Egorova | 26c | 157.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.17 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…848dbacked Oceane Babel | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Daria Egorova | 24c | 115.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.11 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Daria Egorova | 63c | 110$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Oceane Babel | 37c | 110$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Daria Egorova | 22c | 105$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Daria Egorova | 23c | 102.95$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Daria Egorova | 66c | 101.52$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Egorova | 23c | 100.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Oceane Babel | 67c | 87.15$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 273 | 63.4%173 W · 100 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d23…9517backed Daria Egorova | 74c | 70.42$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.01 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Daria Egorova | 26c | 70.22$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Daria Egorova | 30c | 68.9$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Oceane Babel | 68c | 61.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 1,232 | 65.4%806 W · 426 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273d…fb63backed Daria Egorova | 21c | 57.31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8845…360ebacked Daria Egorova | 20c | 55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | -10.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Daria Egorova | 24c | 45.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Oceane Babel | 78c | 42$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 261 | 31.4%82 W · 179 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Oceane Babel | 67c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Daria Egorova | 38c | 34.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Oceane Babel | 55c | 31.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Daria Egorova | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Oceane Babel | 44c | 23.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Daria Egorova | 54c | 22.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Oceane Babel | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 1,013 | 53.8%545 W · 468 L | +35.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Oceane Babel | 65c | 16.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Oceane Babel | 74c | 15.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc512…7fdfbacked Daria Egorova | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.