Asian League · resolved market
Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb643b8750b8a3d1115849d60f709ba8ab9aae5027ec257ca428d09bbfb45d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 34c | 1,754$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.08 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Yes | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3d…3d83backed Yes | 64c | 1,094$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.75 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 13c | 532.65$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.24 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf797…37ccbacked Yes | 38c | 482$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.84 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 66c | 368.99$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.14 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 51c | 354.75$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.55 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 35c | 325.14$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.39 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb13…5946backed No | 62c | 321$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.02 | 172 | 47.1%81 W · 91 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 23c | 310.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.7 | 151 | 33.8%51 W · 100 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked No | 11c | 227.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 43c | 155$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.07 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 106.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.94 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 24c | 82.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.07 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked No | 41c | 73.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.98 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed No | 33c | 72.52$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 387 | 37.5%145 W · 242 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 39c | 54.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.5 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.55 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked No | 21c | 52.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 110 | 23.6%26 W · 84 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 37c | 51.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 257 | 42%108 W · 149 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dd…345cbacked Yes | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Yes | 64c | 46.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.77 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 62c | 38.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.72 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Yes | 58c | 38$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 64c | 37.44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f75…d3fbbacked Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 37c | 29.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 77c | 28.82$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 65c | 16.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Al Khaleej Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?this page
- Will Damac Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Damac Saudi Club win on 2026-05-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.