Euroleague · resolved market
Shanxi Loongs vs. Jilin Northeast Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdb647e029ccab7b59116e71826f6d5b33f42da13975892d0fe4e6bf0e9a6763
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanxi Loongsof Shanxi Loongs, Jilin Northeast Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,400 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x598b…f296backed Shanxi Loongs | 78c | 1,242$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 17c | 1,008$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.68 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 917.44$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.6 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 565.04$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 11cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 27c | 560.13$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.5 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 13c | 510.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 26c | 383.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 106 | 34.9%37 W · 69 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 21c | 202.46$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.41 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 12c | 186.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 12c | 186.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 265 | 44.5%118 W · 147 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Shanxi Loongs | 74c | 178.53$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4796…79fcbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 20c | 157.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe3…949cbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 14c | 143.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 137$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 15c | 121$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers | 23c | 82.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Jilin Northeast Tigers | 18c | 79.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Shanxi Loongs | 73c | 24.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 66 | 63.6%42 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.