Earnings · resolved market
Will Goodyear Tire & Rubber (GT) beat quarterly earnings?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbdbe413591a2e4c725cd9bb310bc3d9c948e23591b3b03e5eb9efc482e4f1d34
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Earningsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,592
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,592 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Earnings is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Earnings | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2587…ace3backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Yes | 16c | 1,392$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.6 | 38 | 15.8%6 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…6643backed No | 50c | 1,096$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.42 | 65 | 100%65 W · 0 L | +26.0wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +90.8%equal weight | 82+0.29 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…cca3backed Yes | 19c | 750$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 28cpaid | +141.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c16…4890backed Yes | 16c | 750$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52dd…d79fbacked Yes | 13c | 450$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9a…553bbacked Yes | 66c | 447.92$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.35 | 139 | 60.4%84 W · 55 L | +14.8wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a5…d228backed Yes | 20c | 300$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +246.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5192…df62backed No | 70c | 285.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 11c | 131.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 56 | 12.5%7 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe9…17acbacked Yes | 15c | 130.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26a4…5593backed Yes | 65c | 99.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -8.3wins | -0.12per pick | 65cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf602…964ebacked No | 75c | 86.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 68cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d7…4d00backed Yes | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 57.3%122 W · 91 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes | 16c | 78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Yes | 25c | 47.87$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e54…8347backed Yes | 26c | 42.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd00…4fc0backed No | 35c | 42.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3230…3fbebacked Yes | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +49%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2cc…8072backed No | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Earnings and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.