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Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,251
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,183

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,251 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x425b…18f1backed Over47c3,161$1,480 inWon+$1,680.741662.5%10 W · 6 L+4.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+64.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c2,246$1,110 inLost-$1,110.14,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Under53c1,034$544 inLost-$544.233441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07e8…faaebacked Over63c622.41$392 inWon+$230.29785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.34per pick52cpaid+77.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under53c605.75$321 inLost-$321.051,69034.9%589 W · 1,101 L-33.1wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under38c78$30 inLost-$301,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed Over61c64.1$39 inWon+$251450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Over41c63.41$26 inWon+$37.415440.7%22 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over35c39.96$14 inWon+$25.7813921.6%30 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…70ffbacked Under54c25.99$14 inLost-$14.031464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.