Premier League · resolved market
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4278a4dca411ad0ee1dab8fa737231694f3ac3cc6475957fc820b4921a83a913
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- West Bromwich Albion FCof Newcastle United FC, West Bromwich Albion FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $39,975
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 52c | 4,553$2,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.4 | 773 | 42.8%331 W · 442 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Newcastle United FC | 48c | 4,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899.99 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Newcastle United FC | 39c | 3,780$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.9 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked West Bromwich Albion FC | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,645 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 52c | 2,429$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.28 | 598 | 47.7%285 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Newcastle United FC | 37c | 2,087$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$776.34 | 914 | 35.3%323 W · 591 L | -15.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Newcastle United FC | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked West Bromwich Albion FC | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Newcastle United FC | 49c | 1,962$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.03 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…7f51backed Newcastle United FC | 48c | 1,337$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 53c | 1,330$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.09 | 1,044 | 33.3%348 W · 696 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6d1…286abacked Newcastle United FC | 48c | 1,174$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 50c | 1,025$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.58 | 1,244 | 49.4%615 W · 629 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe04c…1c0cbacked Newcastle United FC | 55c | 906.43$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x383f…5631backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 60c | 700$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…4aa3backed Newcastle United FC | 48c | 650$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +151.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x382f…c116backed Newcastle United FC | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…291fbacked Newcastle United FC | 53c | 502$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.06 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 47c | 303.48$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.84 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 54c | 285.08$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.14 | 562 | 41.5%233 W · 329 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Newcastle United FC | 47c | 270$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.03 | 170 | 49.4%84 W · 86 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Newcastle United FC | 26c | 239.85$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.85 | 593 | 32.9%195 W · 398 L | -30.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7091…96f8backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fae…b849backed Newcastle United FC | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 48c | 175.4$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.8 | 1,636 | 52.9%866 W · 770 L | +32.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Newcastle United FC | 47c | 168.09$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 50c | 141.35$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.83 | 1,240 | 42.2%523 W · 717 L | -29.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdf…b8a0backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Newcastle United FC | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e7…4fb9backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 48c | 72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9da…3ef5backed Newcastle United FC | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 38cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Newcastle United FC | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 380 | 40.5%154 W · 226 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Newcastle United FC | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked West Bromwich Albion FC | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…3961backed Newcastle United FC | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f1…478bbacked West Bromwich Albion FC | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x556a…5da2backed Newcastle United FC | 48c | 55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…9085backed Newcastle United FC | 54c | 54.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Newcastle United FC | 49c | 43.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Newcastle United FC | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Newcastle United FC | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Newcastle United FC | 52c | 39.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1573…a727backed Newcastle United FC | 48c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd97…a2c3backed Newcastle United FC | 50c | 30.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Newcastle United FC | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703a…f963backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 53c | 28.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 53c | 27.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd69d…2b28backed West Bromwich Albion FC | 53c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Newcastle United FC | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e05…f06bbacked Newcastle United FC | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: Newcastle United FC O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: West Bromwich Albion FC 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: West Bromwich Albion FC 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: West Bromwich Albion FC O/U 2.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)West Bromwich Albion FC won
- Spread: West Bromwich Albion FC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.