TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$9,768
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,177

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,768 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over66c2,448$1,610 inWon+$837.424,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under19c2,156$404 inLost-$404.4991435.3%323 W · 591 L-15.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Under33c2,000$660 inLost-$66048150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over67c1,964$1,316 inWon+$648.1217049.4%84 W · 86 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a03…92d3backed Under40c1,547$619 inLost-$618.81241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under33c441.91$148 inLost-$1481,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x821d…cf16backed Over76c315.91$241 inWon+$75.223441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over63c304.08$192 inWon+$111.9459332.9%195 W · 398 L-30.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over66c199.8$131 inWon+$68.3556241.5%233 W · 329 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c138.65$49 inLost-$48.951,04433.3%348 W · 696 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ac5…f963backed Under35c117.73$41 inLost-$41.2111349.6%56 W · 57 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5519…f7e1backed Over61c99.99$61 inWon+$38.992065%13 W · 7 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under13c95.92$12 inLost-$12.4732049.1%157 W · 163 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0962…6e40backed Over66c75.76$50 inWon+$25.761560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under32c60$19 inLost-$19.512147.1%57 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5e…153bbacked Under33c31.49$10 inLost-$10.251136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Over64c29.97$19 inWon+$10.6512853.9%69 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over75c20$15 inWon+$5.0541760.2%251 W · 166 L+22.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Over75c15$11 inWon+$3.753063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.