Tennis · resolved market
Trieste: Guido Justo vs Georgii Kravchenko
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe76d109a293ab750050261d7fa2ec77f17df9603e99f31973b07442baa8b273
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guido Justoof Guido Justo, Georgii Kravchenko
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Guido Justo | 58c | 1,434$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.8 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Guido Justo | 78c | 1,282$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.05 | 1,091 | 60.2%657 W · 434 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Georgii Kravchenko | 44c | 1,000$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.71 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Guido Justo | 66c | 935.96$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.25 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Georgii Kravchenko | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 23c | 738.76$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.23 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdec4…046fbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 3c | 521.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 178 | 29.2%52 W · 126 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f4…936bbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 31c | 389.74$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 141 | 33.3%47 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Georgii Kravchenko | 42c | 358.97$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,266 | 34.2%433 W · 833 L | -43.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Guido Justo | 61c | 287.46$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.11 | 1,542 | 49.2%759 W · 783 L | +16.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f00…d359backed Georgii Kravchenko | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Guido Justo | 63c | 251.38$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.01 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Georgii Kravchenko | 12c | 251.08$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.76 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Georgii Kravchenko | 27c | 201.83$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.38 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde2f…ad33backed Georgii Kravchenko | 15c | 133$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 253 | 36.4%92 W · 161 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b91…8e2abacked Georgii Kravchenko | 39c | 128.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Guido Justo | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b77…6ba1backed Georgii Kravchenko | 35c | 124.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 67 | 28.4%19 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Guido Justo | 62c | 110$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 627 | 52%326 W · 301 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Georgii Kravchenko | 29c | 107.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Georgii Kravchenko | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.74 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Guido Justo | 58c | 99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.58 | 139 | 65.5%91 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 40c | 90.78$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Guido Justo | 73c | 86.47$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Georgii Kravchenko | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Georgii Kravchenko | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Georgii Kravchenko | 14c | 75.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 41c | 71.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Georgii Kravchenko | 16c | 68.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.84 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Georgii Kravchenko | 36c | 62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Georgii Kravchenko | 22c | 60.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Guido Justo | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 243 | 49.4%120 W · 123 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8703…64cfbacked Guido Justo | 62c | 48.66$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Georgii Kravchenko | 33c | 42.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Georgii Kravchenko | 37c | 41.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Guido Justo | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Georgii Kravchenko | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Georgii Kravchenko | 31c | 39.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Guido Justo | 63c | 36.8$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Guido Justo | 62c | 32.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.54 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Georgii Kravchenko | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 292 | 37.3%109 W · 183 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…3d5cbacked Guido Justo | 60c | 25.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.23 | 314 | 52.9%166 W · 148 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…c5a0backed Georgii Kravchenko | 45c | 22.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36fe…b131backed Guido Justo | 60c | 21.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.67 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Guido Justo | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Guido Justo | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 336 | 56.8%191 W · 145 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trieste: Guido Justo vs Georgii Kravchenkothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Justo vs KravchenkoJusto won
- Set 2 Winner: Justo vs KravchenkoJusto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.