Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Savannah Broadus vs Lucrezia Stefanini
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe8a287e2303f161c611113873ef7ed286c02c34c97faa8929169d51e133c2bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lucrezia Stefaniniof Savannah Broadus, Lucrezia Stefanini
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,037
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Savannah Broadus | 29c | 1,324$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Savannah Broadus | 7c | 330.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 77c | 233.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Savannah Broadus | 24c | 232.39$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Savannah Broadus | 34c | 206.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.31 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Savannah Broadus | 44c | 200.35$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.15 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Savannah Broadus | 26c | 116.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Savannah Broadus | 44c | 114.97$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.59 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Savannah Broadus | 18c | 112.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Savannah Broadus | 26c | 101.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.99 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27a4…d44cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 70 | 65.7%46 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…71e1backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 57c | 50.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Savannah Broadus | 43c | 50.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Savannah Broadus | 29c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 363 | 49.9%181 W · 182 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Savannah Broadus | 28c | 44.07$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 921 | 38.4%354 W · 567 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Savannah Broadus | 48c | 41.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1298…97b6backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…920cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 56c | 34.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Savannah Broadus | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ec…a2f9backed Lucrezia Stefanini | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 450 | 53.3%240 W · 210 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Savannah Broadus | 54c | 20.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lucrezia Stefanini | 68c | 14.97$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.